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Oct 02, 2019
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Lennar Corp. (LEN, $56.49) beats Q3 earnings & revenue expectations, on strong home demand and low interest rates

Lennar Corp. (LEN, $56.49) beats Q3 earnings & revenue expectations, on strong home demand and low interest rates

On Wednesday, Lennar Corp. reported  third-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts' expectations.

The home construction company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.59 a share, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $1.32 a share. The earnings were also higher than the year-ago quarter’s $1.37 a share.

Revenue of  $5.44 billion also came in higher than analysts' forecasts of $5.32 billion. It was a growth from last year's $5.29 billion.

The number of completed homes that the company handed over to occupants increased +7% to around 13,522.  Orders for new homes rose +7% to 14,469.

Lennar indicated that it benefited from demand for new homes among consumers amidst lower mortgage rates, which in turn is a boost to homebuilding cash flow.  

 

Related Ticker: LEN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for LEN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

LEN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 56 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 66%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LEN just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where LEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

LEN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for LEN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +6.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in 203 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LEN moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

LEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for LEN entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.959) is normal, around the industry mean (1.903). P/E Ratio (13.494) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.636). LEN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.302) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.594) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.75K to 40.62B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 40.62B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 12.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. CVCO experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while BXBL experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 56 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services

Industry Homebuilding

Industry
Homebuilding
Address
5505 Waterford District Drive
Phone
+1 305 559-4000
Employees
12532
Web
https://www.lennar.com
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Lennar Corp. (LEN, $56.49) beats Q3 earnings & revenue expectations, on strong home demand and low interest rates