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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 02, 2019

Lennar Corp. (LEN, $56.49) beats Q3 earnings & revenue expectations, on strong home demand and low interest rates

On Wednesday, Lennar Corp. reported  third-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts' expectations.

The home construction company’s earnings for the quarter came in at $1.59 a share, exceeding analysts’ estimate of $1.32 a share. The earnings were also higher than the year-ago quarter’s $1.37 a share.

Revenue of  $5.44 billion also came in higher than analysts' forecasts of $5.32 billion. It was a growth from last year's $5.29 billion.

The number of completed homes that the company handed over to occupants increased +7% to around 13,522.  Orders for new homes rose +7% to 14,469.

Lennar indicated that it benefited from demand for new homes among consumers amidst lower mortgage rates, which in turn is a boost to homebuilding cash flow.  

 

Related Ticker: LEN

LEN sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

On November 15, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for LEN moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 56 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 25, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LEN as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LEN just turned positive on November 20, 2024. Looking at past instances where LEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where LEN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

LEN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 55, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.753) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (11.784) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.325) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.345) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 7.78B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 53.71B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.71B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. TWODF experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while DREM experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -37% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 55
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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LEN
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
5505 Waterford District Drive
Phone
+1 305 559-4000
Employees
12284
Web
https://www.lennar.com
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