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Jun 21, 2022
Lennar (LEN, $66.03) beats Q2 earnings expectations

Lennar (LEN, $66.03) beats Q2 earnings expectations

Lennar posted its second-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, leading to the homebuilding company’s shares climbing by as much as 5% in the premarket Tuesday.

Net income rose to $4.49 a share, from the year-ago quarter’s  $2.65 a share. Excluding mark-to-market losses on technology investments, the company’s earnings came in at $4.69, exceeding the consensus expectations of $3.95 a share (based on FactSet poll).

Lennar’s total revenue surged +30% from the year-ago quarter to $8.36 billion, topping FactSet consensus of $8.11 billion.

Revenue from the Homebuilding business segment rose +32.3% from the prior-year quarter to $7.98 billion. Home deliveries for the quarter increased +14% year-over-year to 16,549 units. The average sales price of homes delivered was $483,000, + 17% higher from the year-ago level.

New orders were up+ 4% from the year-ago quarter to 17,792 homes. The potential value of net orders climbed +20% year over year to $9.1 billion.

Gross margin on home sales widened to 23.4% from 18.6%, notwithstanding increases in materials costs and wages .

“The weight of a rapid doubling of interest rates over six months, together with accelerated price appreciation, began to drive buyers in many markets to pause and reconsider. We began to see these effects after quarter end,” Lennar executive chairman Stuart Miller mentioned.

Looking ahead, , Lennar expects deliveries of 68,000 homes for fiscal year 2022. The company, did not issue guidance for other metrics, citing its belief that the Fed’s actions “are still quite fluid and responsive to inflation data.”

For the fiscal third quarter, the company projects deliveries in the range of 17,000-18,500 homes, with a gross margin on home sales of 28.5-29.5%. It expects new orders to be in the range of 16,000 to 18,000 units,

Related Ticker: LEN

LEN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on June 17, 2026

LEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 33 cases where LEN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for LEN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 225 cases where LEN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LEN as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LEN turned negative on July 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

LEN moved below its 50-day moving average on July 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.931) is normal, around the industry mean (2.001). P/E Ratio (13.102) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.250). LEN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.380) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.484). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.634) is also within normal values, averaging (1.507).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.25K to 42.11B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 42.11B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 4.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. SPHL experienced the highest price growth at 25%, while HOV experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 29
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: 57 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
5505 Waterford District Drive
Phone
+1 305 559-4000
Employees
12284
Web
https://www.lennar.com
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