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Jun 29, 2021
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Lennar (LEN, $99.12) climbs, on +14% rise in Case-Shiller house index

Lennar (LEN, $99.12) climbs, on +14% rise in Case-Shiller house index

Homebuilding stocks like Lennar rose Tuesday, following a record year-over-year increase in S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index in April,

The 10-City Composite rose +14.4% year-over-year in April, compared to  +12.9% in the previous month. This marked the highest gain in more than 30 years. 

The 20-City Composite experienced a +14.9% year-over-year gain, up from +13.4% in the previous month. All 20 cities reported sharper price increases in the year ending April compared with the year ending March.

Craig Lazzara, managing director and global head of index investment strategy at S&P DJI,indicated that the demand increase may reflect an acceleration of purchases that “would have occurred anyway over the next several years."

"Alternatively, there may have been a secular change in locational preferences, leading to a permanent shift in the demand curve for housing," Lazzara said.

Related Ticker: LEN

LEN in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for LEN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LEN as a result. In 61 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LEN just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where LEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

LEN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +6.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in 203 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for LEN moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 70 cases where LEN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

LEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for LEN entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.989) is normal, around the industry mean (1.910). P/E Ratio (13.909) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.592). LEN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.302) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.217). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.594) is also within normal values, averaging (24.205).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 8.13B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 12.75K to 42.59B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 42.59B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 12.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while BXBL experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 28
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 66
Seasonality Score: 51 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT
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published General Information

General Information

a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services

Industry Homebuilding

Industry
Homebuilding
Address
5505 Waterford District Drive
Phone
+1 305 559-4000
Employees
12532
Web
https://www.lennar.com
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