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Jul 10, 2019
Levi (LEVI, $20.82) shares decline, on soft sales growth outlook

Levi (LEVI, $20.82) shares decline, on soft sales growth outlook

Levi Strauss’ shares tumbled pre-market Wednesday, following the company's  warning of a weakening growth of sales in the second half of the year.

The maker of the iconic denim brand reported fiscal second quarter earnings of 7 cents a share, down -65% from the same period last year. Adjusting for some costs, the company earned 17 cents per share, beating the Street consensus estimate of 15 cents per share. 

Revenue of $1.312 billion for the quarter also surpassed analysts’ forecasts.

However, Levis CFO Harmit Singh mentioned that the second half sales growth would “moderate relative to the first half, particularly in the United States" .The company expects that the lack of a Black Friday in Q4 will hurt revenue by roughly 100 basis points in the second half.

As for the ongoing trade war, CFO Singh has indicated that the company is prepared to cushion the effect of tariffs over the near term.

Related Ticker: LEVI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for LEVI turns positive, indicating new upward trend

LEVI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LEVI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LEVI just turned positive on September 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where LEVI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +3.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEVI advanced for three days, in 200 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for LEVI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEVI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

LEVI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for LEVI entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.355) is normal, around the industry mean (5.929). P/E Ratio (14.150) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.594). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.020) is also within normal values, averaging (0.686). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.176) is also within normal values, averaging (0.827).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. LEVI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEVI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 2.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 25.98B. HMRZF holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.98B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. VNCE experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while NCI experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 35% and the average quarterly volume growth was 47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 31 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of jeans, casual apparel, and sportswear

Industry ApparelFootwear

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
1155 Battery Street
Phone
+1 415 501-6000
Employees
19000
Web
https://www.levistrauss.com
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