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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 07, 2022

Levi's (LEVI, $15.93) slashes full-year guidance

Levi’s posted third quarter sales that surpassed expectations. However, the denim company slashed its guidance for the full-year.

Revenue came in at $1.51 billion, compared to the Street’s consensus for $1.59 billion.

The company now expects net revenue growth of between 6.7% to 7% for the full-year, down from a prior forecast of 11% to 13% growth. The outlook revision comes amidst an environment of a stronger dollar and supply chain challenges.

Levi’s guidance on adjusted diluted earnings per share is now $1.50 and $1.56, compared to previous guidance of $1.44 to $1.49.

“Despite a more challenging environment, we delivered solid third quarter results,” president and CEO Chip Bergh mentioned in a statement. “The Levi's brand grew 6 percent in constant-currency, hitting a 10- year record third quarter sales result.”

Related Ticker: LEVI

LEVI in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on July 01, 2024

The 10-day moving average for LEVI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 01, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 13, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LEVI as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LEVI turned negative on June 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

LEVI moved below its 50-day moving average on June 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEVI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for LEVI entered a downward trend on July 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for LEVI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where LEVI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEVI advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LEVI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 76%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.948) is normal, around the industry mean (3.264). P/E Ratio (32.742) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.425). LEVI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.320) is also within normal values, averaging (1.407).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LEVI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LEVI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE), Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX), VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 6.29B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.24B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.24B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. PXFG experienced the highest price growth at 81%, while DLAPQ experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 84% and the average quarterly volume growth was 87%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of jeans, casual apparel, and sportswear

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
1155 Battery Street
Phone
+1 415 501-6000
Employees
19100
Web
https://www.levistrauss.com
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