Long-Short Equity Swing Trade: AMC's 13.88% Growth Strategy Revealed!
Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA) Yields 13.88% for AMC
In a dynamic marketplace, it is essential to identify opportunities and strategies that enhance returns. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC), a titan of the movie theater industry, has recently made headlines due to its performance as part of a swing trader's long-short equity strategy involving both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA). This strategy has generated a compelling return of 13.88% for AMC, illustrating the effectiveness of combining various analytical approaches in informed trading.
An exciting development for AMC has been its trend reversal, signaling a potential upward price movement. This assertion stems from the stock breaching its lower Bollinger Band on June 22, 2023. The Bollinger Band, a tool in technical analysis, is frequently used to gauge volatility and predict potential price levels. When a stock's price falls below its lower Bollinger Band, it indicates that the stock may be oversold, providing an opportunity for buyers to come in, thus potentially triggering an upward trend.
Given this trend, traders may find an opportunity to profit by buying the stock or exploring call options. This strategy banks on the probability of the price bouncing back above the lower band and then heading toward the middle band. Indeed, historical data adds credence to this analysis, with AMC's price rising further in the following month in 37 out of 40 cases where the stock's price broke its lower Bollinger Band. The odds of a continued upward trend are quite promising, standing at an impressive 90%.
The combination of technical and fundamental analysis is proving instrumental in navigating the volatile landscape of trading. The compelling 13.88% return generated by the long-short equity strategy for AMC is a testament to the utility of such integrated analytical approaches. As the market dynamics continue to evolve, such comprehensive analysis will remain crucial in identifying lucrative investment opportunities and devising effective strategies.
AMC in -7.00% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on September 27, 2023
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AMC declined for three days, in of 366 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 27, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMC as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on September 20, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 46 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMC just turned positive on September 14, 2023. Looking at past instances where AMC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 36 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (4.601). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (77.136). AMC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.717). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.252) is also within normal values, averaging (111.418).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a holding company with interest in movie theatres
Industry MoviesEntertainment
AMC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMC has been loosely correlated with CNK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMC jumps, then CNK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMC | 100% | +2.91% | ||
| CNK - AMC | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.55% | ||
| MCS - AMC | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| IMAX - AMC | 26% Poorly correlated | -1.71% | ||
| VIA - AMC | 26% Poorly correlated | -6.33% | ||
| BOWL - AMC | 25% Poorly correlated | +3.03% | ||
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