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May 22, 2019

Lowe's cuts 2019 profit outlook due to high costs

Home renovation and improvement store Lowe’s has cut its full-year profit forecast after reporting disappointing first-quarter earnings, in part, due to cost increases.

“Because of ... the transition of our merchandising team, we literally had no visibility to those cost increases until the inventory that was increased in cost hit the P&L,” Ellison said on a post-earnings call with analysts. 

"We are doubling our efforts, making sure we limit the number of surprises that will get us in the future,” he said. 

Excluding one-time items, the company earned $1.22 per share in the three months ended May 3, missing analysts’ average estimate of $1.33, according to IBES data from Refinitiv. Overall, net sales rose 2.1% to $17.74 billion, beating expectations of $17.66 billion. 

Related Ticker: LOW

LOW's RSI Oscillator slumps into oversold zone

The RSI Indicator for LOW moved into overbought territory on April 16, 2024. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LOW advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 332 cases where LOW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LOW as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LOW turned negative on March 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

LOW moved below its 50-day moving average on April 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for LOW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LOW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LOW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (12.709). P/E Ratio (18.885) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.244) is also within normal values, averaging (2.536). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.685) is also within normal values, averaging (87.325).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LOW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), RH (NYSE:RH), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 8.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48 to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is CALI at 48.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. MHRE experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while BNED experienced the biggest fall at -63%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 49%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -34% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 81
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company, which engages in the retail sale of home improvement products

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Home Improvement Chains
Address
1000 Lowes Boulevard
Phone
+1 704 758-1000
Employees
284000
Web
https://www.lowes.com
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