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Mar 31, 2021
Lululemon (LULU, $317.09) beats Q4 earnings expectations; gives mixed guidance for 2021

Lululemon (LULU, $317.09) beats Q4 earnings expectations; gives mixed guidance for 2021

Athleisure apparel company Lululemon posted fourth quarter earnings that beat analysts’ expectations. However, the company provided a  mixed 2021 guidance. 

Lululemon’s earnings for the quarter came in at $2.58 per share, surpassing the $2.49 per share expected by analysts.

 Revenue climbed +24% from the year-ago quarter to $1.7 billion, compared to analysts’ expectations of $1.66 billion.

For the first-quarter, the company expects earnings to range between 86 cents and 90 cents per share, above consensus estimates of 82 cents per share. However, the company’s earnings projection for the full year is between $6.30 and $6.45 per share,  below consensus estimates of $6.71 per share.

Related Ticker: LULU

LULU in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026

The 10-day moving average for LULU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LULU turned negative on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

LULU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LULU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator for LULU entered a downward trend on September 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LULU's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 60 cases where LULU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LULU as a result. In 59 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

Following a +3.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LULU advanced for three days, in 209 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

LULU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LULU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.266) is normal, around the industry mean (3.273). P/E Ratio (8.071) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.280). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.069) is also within normal values, averaging (0.502). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.004) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LULU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 8.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 131.6K to 184.95B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 184.95B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 131.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. LVLU experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while TLYS experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -21 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retailer of athletic apparels

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1818 Cornwall Avenue
Phone
+1 604 732-6124
Employees
39000
Web
https://www.lululemon.com
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