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published in Blogs
Feb 11, 2023

Lyft (LYFT, $10.31) shares undergo the worst plunge ever, on outlook and rating downgrades

Lyft shares ended Friday trading at $10.31, slumping -36.4% -- the sharpest percent decline ever. At least eight analysts downgraded the ride-hailing company's stock following its earnings report (according to FactSet data).

While Lyft’s Q4 adjusted earnings of $126.7 million beat Street forecasts, it disappointed on guidance. According to the company’s statement, it likely won't achieve its earlier goals of $1 billion in adjusted earnings and $700 million in free-cash flow by 2024.

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives slashed his rating on Lyft shares to neutral from outperform and cut his price target to $13 from $17. “In 22 years on the Street as a tech analyst we have listened to 1,000s of conference calls with many highs and lows”, Ives wrote. “Last night’s Lyft call was a Top 3 worst call we have ever heard as in our opinion as management is trying to play darts blindfolded with the expense structure going forward and gave an Ebitda outlook which was a debacle for the ages.”

Ives also mentioned that  Lyft’s business model faces an “Everest-like uphill climb” to show growth with profitability, and that it is in a “stark contrast to big brother Uber which is moving in the opposite direction of balanced fundamentals.”

JPMorgan’s Doug Anmuth lowered his rating to neutral  from outperform, while almost halving his target price to $15 (from $29). Anmuth mentioned that while the U.S. ride-share market was recovering from the pandemic, “Lyft is not.” He also noted that increasing  driver supply meant less opportunity for surge pricing, and therefore  headwind to revenue growth.

D.A. Davidson’s Tom White lowered his rating on Lyft’s stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target to $12.50 from $19, citing his growing concerns about the company’s   ability to “regain/rebuild its prior category position (or how much it might cost to do so).”

Lyft shares ended Friday trading at $10.31, slumping -36.4% -- the sharpest percent decline ever. At least eight analysts downgraded the ride-hailing stock following its earnings report (according to FactSet data).

While Lyft’s Q4 adjusted earnings of $126.7 million beat Street forecasts, it disappointed on guidance. According to the company’s statement, it likely won't achieve its earlier goals of $1 billion in adjusted earnings and $700 million in free-cash flow by 2024.

Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives slashed his rating on Lyft shares to neutral from outperform and cut his price target to $13 from $17. “In 22 years on the Street as a tech analyst we have listened to 1,000s of conference calls with many highs and lows”, Ives wrote. “Last night’s Lyft call was a Top 3 worst call we have ever heard as in our opinion as management is trying to play darts blindfolded with the expense structure going forward and gave an Ebitda outlook which was a debacle for the ages.”

Ives also mentioned that  Lyft’s business model faces an “Everest-like uphill climb” to show growth with profitability, and that it is in a “stark contrast to big brother Uber which is moving in the opposite direction of balanced fundamentals.”

JPMorgan’s Doug Anmuth lowered his rating to neutral  from outperform, while almost halving his target price to $15 (from $29). Anmuth mentioned that while the U.S. ride-share market was recovering from the pandemic, “Lyft is not.” He also noted that increasing  driver supply meant less opportunity for surge pricing, and therefore  headwind to revenue growth.

D.A. Davidson’s Tom White lowered his rating on Lyft’s stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target to $12.50 from $19, citing his growing concerns about the company’s   ability to “regain/rebuild its prior category position (or how much it might cost to do so).”

Related Ticker: LYFT

LYFT's Stochastic Oscillator stoops into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for LYFT moved into oversold territory on September 05, 2024. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart
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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. YQAI experienced the highest price growth at 1,260%, while NEWUF experienced the biggest fall at -83%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
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