Lyft (LYFT, $10.31) shares undergo the worst plunge ever, on outlook and rating downgrades
Lyft shares ended Friday trading at $10.31, slumping -36.4% -- the sharpest percent decline ever. At least eight analysts downgraded the ride-hailing company's stock following its earnings report (according to FactSet data).
While Lyft’s Q4 adjusted earnings of $126.7 million beat Street forecasts, it disappointed on guidance. According to the company’s statement, it likely won't achieve its earlier goals of $1 billion in adjusted earnings and $700 million in free-cash flow by 2024.
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives slashed his rating on Lyft shares to neutral from outperform and cut his price target to $13 from $17. “In 22 years on the Street as a tech analyst we have listened to 1,000s of conference calls with many highs and lows”, Ives wrote. “Last night’s Lyft call was a Top 3 worst call we have ever heard as in our opinion as management is trying to play darts blindfolded with the expense structure going forward and gave an Ebitda outlook which was a debacle for the ages.”
Ives also mentioned that Lyft’s business model faces an “Everest-like uphill climb” to show growth with profitability, and that it is in a “stark contrast to big brother Uber which is moving in the opposite direction of balanced fundamentals.”
JPMorgan’s Doug Anmuth lowered his rating to neutral from outperform, while almost halving his target price to $15 (from $29). Anmuth mentioned that while the U.S. ride-share market was recovering from the pandemic, “Lyft is not.” He also noted that increasing driver supply meant less opportunity for surge pricing, and therefore headwind to revenue growth.
D.A. Davidson’s Tom White lowered his rating on Lyft’s stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target to $12.50 from $19, citing his growing concerns about the company’s ability to “regain/rebuild its prior category position (or how much it might cost to do so).”
Lyft shares ended Friday trading at $10.31, slumping -36.4% -- the sharpest percent decline ever. At least eight analysts downgraded the ride-hailing stock following its earnings report (according to FactSet data).
While Lyft’s Q4 adjusted earnings of $126.7 million beat Street forecasts, it disappointed on guidance. According to the company’s statement, it likely won't achieve its earlier goals of $1 billion in adjusted earnings and $700 million in free-cash flow by 2024.
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives slashed his rating on Lyft shares to neutral from outperform and cut his price target to $13 from $17. “In 22 years on the Street as a tech analyst we have listened to 1,000s of conference calls with many highs and lows”, Ives wrote. “Last night’s Lyft call was a Top 3 worst call we have ever heard as in our opinion as management is trying to play darts blindfolded with the expense structure going forward and gave an Ebitda outlook which was a debacle for the ages.”
Ives also mentioned that Lyft’s business model faces an “Everest-like uphill climb” to show growth with profitability, and that it is in a “stark contrast to big brother Uber which is moving in the opposite direction of balanced fundamentals.”
JPMorgan’s Doug Anmuth lowered his rating to neutral from outperform, while almost halving his target price to $15 (from $29). Anmuth mentioned that while the U.S. ride-share market was recovering from the pandemic, “Lyft is not.” He also noted that increasing driver supply meant less opportunity for surge pricing, and therefore headwind to revenue growth.
D.A. Davidson’s Tom White lowered his rating on Lyft’s stock to neutral from buy and cut his price target to $12.50 from $19, citing his growing concerns about the company’s ability to “regain/rebuild its prior category position (or how much it might cost to do so).”
LYFT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
LYFT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 10, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 57 cases where LYFT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 09, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LYFT as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LYFT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LYFT entered a downward trend on July 01, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for LYFT moved above the 200-day moving average on June 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LYFT advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LYFT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.205) is normal, around the industry mean (31.479). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (164.144). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.732). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.684) is also within normal values, averaging (62.041).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LYFT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online social rideshare community platform
Industry PackagedSoftware
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