Macy's posted its second quarter earnings that surpassed the Street consensus. However, the retail company lowered its full-year profit forecast on inflation’s impact on consumer discretionary spending.
The company ’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending in April fell 22% from the year-ago quarter to $1 per share, while beating analysts’ expectations of 85 cents share.
Net sales fell 0.8% to $5.6 billion, topping analysts' estimates of a $5.49 billion. Same-store sales fell 1.5%.
Looking ahead, Macy's expects 2022 earnings in the range of $4.00 to $4.20 per share, down from its May forecast of $4.53 to $4.95 per share. It projects net sales in the range of $24.34 billion to $24.65 billion, a bit lower than its prior guidance.
The 50-day moving average for M moved below the 200-day moving average on April 21, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 25, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on M as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where M declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for M entered a downward trend on May 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where M's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for M just turned positive on May 15, 2023. Looking at past instances where M's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where M advanced for three days, in of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
M may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.957) is normal, around the industry mean (2.187). P/E Ratio (3.422) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.220). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.024). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.159) is also within normal values, averaging (0.696).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. M’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. M’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows