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Aug 23, 2022
Macy's (M, $18.66) tops Q2 earnings estimates; but cuts full-year guidance

Macy's (M, $18.66) tops Q2 earnings estimates; but cuts full-year guidance

Macy's posted its second quarter earnings that surpassed the Street consensus. However, the retail company lowered its full-year profit forecast on inflation’s impact on consumer discretionary spending.

The company ’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending in April fell 22% from the year-ago quarter to $1 per share, while beating analysts’ expectations of  85 cents share.

Net sales fell 0.8% to $5.6 billion, topping analysts' estimates of a $5.49 billion. Same-store sales fell 1.5%.

Looking ahead, Macy's expects 2022 earnings in the range of $4.00 to $4.20 per share, down from its May forecast of $4.53 to $4.95 per share. It projects net sales in the range of $24.34 billion to $24.65 billion, a bit lower than its prior guidance.

Related Ticker: M

M in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026

M moved above its 50-day moving average on May 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 61 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on M as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for M just turned positive on May 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where M's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for M moved above the 200-day moving average on May 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where M advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for M moved out of overbought territory on June 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where M's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where M declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

M broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for M entered a downward trend on May 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. M’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. M’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.259) is normal, around the industry mean (2.066). P/E Ratio (9.570) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.987) is also within normal values, averaging (2.933). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.280) is also within normal values, averaging (21.452).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 4.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18%. M experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while DDS experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -36 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

Profile
Details
Industry
Department Stores
Address
151 West 34th Street
Phone
+1 212 494-1621
Employees
85581
Web
https://www.macysinc.com
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Macy's (M, $18.66) tops Q2 earnings estimates; but cuts full-year guidance