Macy’s (M, $25.29) identifies five key areas for investment in 2019
The department store chain, Macy’s, has restructuring plans underway to boost its goal of saving $100 million annually and using that money for growth initiatives in 2019. With the restructuring, it plans to bring in some structural major changes but with a job cut.
But given the retail scenario today, Macy’s goals are not without challenges. With shoppers moving increasingly online, the Company’s 600 department stores across the U.S. need to justify their relevance. Some of Macy’s brands like Nike (NKE) and Coach have now opened standalone stores and at the same time have also ramped up their own websites.
Taking into account this current retail situation, Macy’s has decided to invest in five select areas in 2019. First is its Growth150 Plan where the company will further upgrade its more profitable stores with new lighting, fixtures and merchandise.
Second, focusing on Macy’s Backstage, the off-price business of the company that sells apparel and home goods at hefty discounts. Besides the already existing 120 Backstage locations, the Company plans to open 45 more this year as sales at Macy’s stores with Backstage shops inside are up 5%, on average.
Third, Macy’s will collaborate with its vendors more efficiently so that fresh and up-to-date goods arrive quicker in their stores.
Fourth, the Company will upgrade its app to further boost its online sales.
Finally, it will invest in the more profitable categories like dresses, fine jewelry, women’s footwear and beauty accessories.
The scope of the challenges Macy's faces, however, will not be fully addressed by just these upgrades. Its real estate is still the biggest challenge, and the company is now trying to find complementary uses of its some of its flagship locations, including the iconic Macy’s store in Herald Square in New York.
Momentum Indicator for M turns positive, indicating new upward trend
M saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 17, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where M advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
M may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 183 cases where M Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where M's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for M turned negative on March 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
M moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for M crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 05, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where M declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.266) is normal, around the industry mean (2.270). P/E Ratio (50.105) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.798). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.128) is also within normal values, averaging (1.414). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.222) is also within normal values, averaging (0.482).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. M’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. M’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of department stores
Industry DepartmentStores