Markets are watching the trade wars and waiting for earnings
While the markets are getting very tired of watching the never ending twits, articles, opinions, news, negotiations, remarks and speeches of all the pundits who know everything about the effects of the trade tariffs, the earning season is about to begin. Staring next week, we will see hundreds of earning reports - and this will determine the future direction of the markets. We are not very optimistic about possible significant upside in the major indicies for the remaining part of this calendar year.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DIA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026
DIA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIA as a result. In 56 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIA turned negative on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
The 10-day moving average for DIA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for DIA entered a downward trend on September 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIA advanced for three days, in 307 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
DIA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
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