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May 10, 2019

Marriott Q1 beats estimates but revenue misses

Marriott International reported mixed first-quarter 2019 results. Earnings beat estimates but revenue did not. This marked the fifth straight quarter of revenue miss.

Adjusted earnings came in at $1.41 per share, outpacing estimates of $1.34 and increasing 5% year over year. The upside was driven by lower effective tax rate as well as increase in room rates. Total revenue of $5,012 million missed the consensus mark of $5,117 million. However, the top line was almost flat with the prior-year quarter number.

Related Ticker: MAR

MAR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on December 18, 2024

MAR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 38 cases where MAR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where MAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAR advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 279 cases where MAR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MAR moved out of overbought territory on November 27, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MAR as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MAR turned negative on November 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MAR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MAR's P/B Ratio (443.634) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (29.232). P/E Ratio (24.689) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.196). MAR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.536) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.378). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.210) is also within normal values, averaging (2.438).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR), Hilton Worldwide Holdings (NYSE:HLT), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry is 8.83B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.24M to 72.73B. MAR holds the highest valuation in this group at 72.73B. The lowest valued company is SOST at 1.24M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. PRSI experienced the highest price growth at 61%, while MNOIY experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines Industry was -90%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -54% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of hotels and related lodging facilities

Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
7750 Wisconsin Avenue
Phone
+1 301 380-3000
Employees
411000
Web
https://www.marriott.com
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