Match Group has performed very well over the last six months—both fundamentally and technically
Online dating service provider Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has seen its stock rise tremendously since November. The stock dropped below the $32 level on November 20 and it hit a high of $75.28 on May 17. That’s a gain of over 135% in less than six months.
The technical performance for the stock is strong enough that it scores a 96 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating. That means that only 4% of the stocks in IBD’s database have seen better price performance over the past year.
We see on the daily chart how an upwardly sloped trend channel has helped guide the stock higher over the last five months. The lower rail connects the lows from each of the last four months and the stock just touched it. The daily stochastic readings dipped down close to oversold territory, but didn’t quite reach it. The indicators have now turned higher and made a bullish crossover.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Match Group on June 27. The signal showed a confidence level of 87% with 83% of past predictions being successful. This signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.
From a fundamental perspective, Match has seen its earnings grow by 37% per year over the last three years and they were up 62% in the most recent quarter. Sales were up 21% per year and increased by 14% in the most recent quarter. The company is currently showing a return on equity of 138.8% and a profit margin of 31.1%. You would be hard pressed to find many companies with better stats than those.
MTCH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for MTCH entered a downward trend on November 11, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 217 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 217 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where MTCH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTCH as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTCH turned negative on November 18, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTCH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTCH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MTCH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (24.155). P/E Ratio (14.715) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.204). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.353) is also within normal values, averaging (24.389). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.424) is also within normal values, averaging (19.252).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of dating products
Industry InternetSoftwareServices
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