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Jul 02, 2019
Match Group has performed very well over the last six months—both fundamentally and technically

Match Group has performed very well over the last six months—both fundamentally and technically

Online dating service provider Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has seen its stock rise tremendously since November. The stock dropped below the $32 level on November 20 and it hit a high of $75.28 on May 17. That’s a gain of over 135% in less than six months.

The technical performance for the stock is strong enough that it scores a 96 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating. That means that only 4% of the stocks in IBD’s database have seen better price performance over the past year.

We see on the daily chart how an upwardly sloped trend channel has helped guide the stock higher over the last five months. The lower rail connects the lows from each of the last four months and the stock just touched it. The daily stochastic readings dipped down close to oversold territory, but didn’t quite reach it. The indicators have now turned higher and made a bullish crossover.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Match Group on June 27. The signal showed a confidence level of 87% with 83% of past predictions being successful. This signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.

From a fundamental perspective, Match has seen its earnings grow by 37% per year over the last three years and they were up 62% in the most recent quarter. Sales were up 21% per year and increased by 14% in the most recent quarter. The company is currently showing a return on equity of 138.8% and a profit margin of 31.1%. You would be hard pressed to find many companies with better stats than those.

Related Ticker: MTCH

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


MTCH's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 7 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

MTCH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in 179 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 117 of 174 cases where MTCH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTCH moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTCH as a result. In 60 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTCH turned negative on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.

The 10-day moving average for MTCH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTCH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

MTCH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MTCH's P/B Ratio (-306.733) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.315). P/E Ratio (14.011) is within average values for comparable stocks, (405.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.329) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.148) is also within normal values, averaging (70.877).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Bilibili (NASDAQ:BILI).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 148.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107 to 4.19T. GOOG holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.19T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 107.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. SJ experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while CCG experienced the biggest fall at -48%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of dating products

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
8750 North Central Expressway
Phone
+1 214 576-9352
Employees
2209
Web
https://www.mtch.com
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