Match Group has performed very well over the last six months—both fundamentally and technically
Online dating service provider Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has seen its stock rise tremendously since November. The stock dropped below the $32 level on November 20 and it hit a high of $75.28 on May 17. That’s a gain of over 135% in less than six months.
The technical performance for the stock is strong enough that it scores a 96 on Investor’s Business Daily’s Relative Price Strength Rating. That means that only 4% of the stocks in IBD’s database have seen better price performance over the past year.
We see on the daily chart how an upwardly sloped trend channel has helped guide the stock higher over the last five months. The lower rail connects the lows from each of the last four months and the stock just touched it. The daily stochastic readings dipped down close to oversold territory, but didn’t quite reach it. The indicators have now turned higher and made a bullish crossover.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for Match Group on June 27. The signal showed a confidence level of 87% with 83% of past predictions being successful. This signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month.
From a fundamental perspective, Match has seen its earnings grow by 37% per year over the last three years and they were up 62% in the most recent quarter. Sales were up 21% per year and increased by 14% in the most recent quarter. The company is currently showing a return on equity of 138.8% and a profit margin of 31.1%. You would be hard pressed to find many companies with better stats than those.
MTCH's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTCH turned positive on March 19, 2025. Looking at past instances where MTCH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MTCH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTCH as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MTCH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
MTCH moved below its 50-day moving average on February 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MTCH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTCH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for MTCH entered a downward trend on March 12, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MTCH's P/B Ratio (103.093) is slightly higher than the industry average of (11.544). P/E Ratio (15.894) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.389). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.455) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.131) is also within normal values, averaging (19.447).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of dating products
Industry InternetSoftwareServices