Match Group is Having a Hard Time Breaking Its Downtrend
Internet dating website operator Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has really strong fundamental indicators, and those strong fundamentals helped push the stock higher in recent years. The stock was trading under $10 in early 2016 and rose to a high of $58.01 in September.
The company has seen its earnings grow by an average of 17% per year annually over the last three years. The EPS jumped by 105% in the most recent quarterly report and analysts expect earnings to grow by 122% in the current year. Sales have grown by 18% annually and they grew by 29% in the most recent quarter. Match Group has a return on equity of 39% and a profit margin of 24.6%.
Despite those fundamental strengths, the stock has dropped significantly as the overall market has declined. Unfortunately for shareholders, Match has dropped more sharply than the market.
From the high in September to the low in December, Match dropped over 45%. The stock has bounced back from that low, but it could be facing some resistance at this point.
You can see on the daily chart that a trend-line has formed that connects the highs from October, November, and December. That trend-line is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average at this time and that could be a lot for the stock to overcome.
MTCH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 27, 2025
MTCH moved above its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where MTCH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTCH as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for MTCH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 167 cases where MTCH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTCH moved out of overbought territory on June 10, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 24 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTCH turned negative on June 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTCH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MTCH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MTCH's P/B Ratio (103.093) is slightly higher than the industry average of (11.909). P/E Ratio (15.894) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.062). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.455) is also within normal values, averaging (3.572). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.131) is also within normal values, averaging (20.696).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of dating products
Industry InternetSoftwareServices
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