Match Group is Having a Hard Time Breaking Its Downtrend
Internet dating website operator Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has really strong fundamental indicators, and those strong fundamentals helped push the stock higher in recent years. The stock was trading under $10 in early 2016 and rose to a high of $58.01 in September.
The company has seen its earnings grow by an average of 17% per year annually over the last three years. The EPS jumped by 105% in the most recent quarterly report and analysts expect earnings to grow by 122% in the current year. Sales have grown by 18% annually and they grew by 29% in the most recent quarter. Match Group has a return on equity of 39% and a profit margin of 24.6%.
Despite those fundamental strengths, the stock has dropped significantly as the overall market has declined. Unfortunately for shareholders, Match has dropped more sharply than the market.
From the high in September to the low in December, Match dropped over 45%. The stock has bounced back from that low, but it could be facing some resistance at this point.
You can see on the daily chart that a trend-line has formed that connects the highs from October, November, and December. That trend-line is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average at this time and that could be a lot for the stock to overcome.
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MTCH in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026
MTCH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 24 of the 29 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTCH moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 22 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 73%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTCH as a result. In 60 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTCH turned negative on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
MTCH moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTCH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1.62% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in 179 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 174 cases where MTCH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MTCH's P/B Ratio (-306.733) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.315). P/E Ratio (14.011) is within average values for comparable stocks, (405.942). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.329) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.148) is also within normal values, averaging (70.877).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of dating products
Industry InternetSoftwareServices
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