The materials sector has lagged most of the other sectors so far in 2019 and for the past year. The Materials Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLB) is up 13.23% so far in 2019, but that places it in seventh place among the 10 select sectors SPDR ETFs. The tech sector has experienced a gain of 27.2% so far this year and that is the top performance of the group.
Even though it has lagged so far this year, the XLB could be ready to make up some ground on the other sectors. The fund pulled back a little over the last few weeks, but that brought it down to the lower rail of an upwardly sloping trend channel. That lower rail is just above the 50-day moving average, giving the ETF two layers of support.
The daily stochastic readings for the XLB moved down close to oversold territory and appear to be turning higher now. The last time the indicators were this low was at the end of December when the fund jumped by over 10% within a matter of weeks. The stochastics did make a bullish crossover on April 29.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for the XLB on April 26 and that signal showed a confidence level of 87%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the coming month and 85% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful.
The 10-day moving average for XLB crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 20, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLB as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLB just turned positive on February 08, 2024. Looking at past instances where XLB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XLB moved above its 50-day moving average on February 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLB advanced for three days, in of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 14 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XLB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for XLB entered a downward trend on February 13, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
|ETFs / NAME
|Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
|Invesco S&P SmallCap Info Tech ETF
|RiverNorth Opportunistic Municipal Income Fund
|BondBloxx US HY Cnsmr Cyclcls Sctr ETF
|Max Auto Industry -3X Inverse Lvrgd ETN
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLB has been closely correlated with VAW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XLB jumps, then VAW could also see price increases.