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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 27, 2023

Maximize Returns with Swing Trading: CIVI's Impressive 38.14% Growth

Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates for CIVI a Staggering 38.14%

Among the many diverse strategies available to traders, sector rotation stands out due to its inherent ability to consistently generate returns. This technique involves shifting investments from one business sector to another, based on the prediction of market cycles. When coupled with a robust framework of technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA), it has recently achieved a phenomenal performance for CIVI with an overall return of 38.14%.

A 3-day positive trajectory propelled CIVI ahead by +2.48%, pointing towards a promising uptrend. According to historical data, it has been observed that such advances are often followed by further growth. Statistical analysis of CIVI's past performance under similar conditions presents an optimistic picture for potential investors. Out of 330 instances where CIVI exhibited a positive advance for three consecutive days, 273 cases resulted in continued growth over the subsequent month. In layman's terms, the probability of an upward trend following a 3-day advance stands at an encouraging 83%.

This surge underscores the potential of combining the sector rotation strategy with an analytical blend of TA and FA. By relying on technical analysis, investors can identify market trends and patterns that suggest the right timing for sector transitions. Meanwhile, fundamental analysis helps to assess the intrinsic value of the assets within each sector, which aids in selecting the most promising ones.

Sector rotation is essentially a dynamic investing strategy. It involves aligning investments with macroeconomic conditions, the business cycle, and market indicators. By predicting which business sectors are likely to outperform or underperform at certain stages of the business cycle, it's possible to rotate investments into sectors poised for growth.

For instance, during the early expansion phase of the business cycle, sectors such as technology and industrial often lead the market. By contrast, in the late contraction phase, investors might shift their focus towards more defensive sectors, such as utilities or healthcare.

In CIVI's case, a blend of well-executed sector rotation and diligent TA&FA led to a strong upward trend, yielding significant returns. The analysis not only identified the ripe investment opportunity but also timed the market effectively to capitalize on it.

However, like any other strategy, sector rotation combined with TA&FA is not without its risks. It relies heavily on accurate forecasting of the business cycle and sector performance, which can be impacted by unforeseen economic events or market fluctuations.

Despite the challenges, the strategy's recent performance with CIVI provides a compelling case for its efficacy. By keeping an eye on market trends, understanding business cycles, and employing diligent analysis, investors can optimize their portfolio's performance and potentially generate substantial returns, even in a volatile market environment.

Related Ticker: CIVI

CIVI's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for CIVI moved out of oversold territory on March 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CIVI just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where CIVI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CIVI advanced for three days, in of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CIVI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where CIVI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 31, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CIVI as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CIVI moved below its 50-day moving average on February 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CIVI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CIVI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CIVI entered a downward trend on March 19, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.240) is normal, around the industry mean (4.401). P/E Ratio (8.411) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.066). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.890). Dividend Yield (0.091) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.897) is also within normal values, averaging (161.036).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CIVI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Expand Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:EXE), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 4.17B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. HYTLF experienced the highest price growth at 60%, while ZNOG experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -27% and the average quarterly volume growth was 5%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 9 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of home and community based health and human services

Industry OilGasProduction

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hospital Or Nursing Management
Address
555 17th Street
Phone
+1 303 293-9100
Employees
516
Web
https://www.civitasresources.com
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