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Apr 28, 2023

McDonald's Corp (MCD, $294.58)after its earning report on April 25

On Thursday, April 25, McDonald's Corp (MCD) released its earnings report, showing a decline in the company's stock. Following this release, MCD has been on a downward trend for three consecutive days, with a total decline of 1.17% as of April 26, 2023. This article examines the significance of this bearish sign and the odds of a continued downward trend for the fast-food giant in the coming month.

Three-Day Downward Trend: A Bearish Sign for McDonald's Corp

Market analysts view a three-day downward trend as a bearish sign, often prompting investors to keep a close eye on the stock for potential further declines. McDonald's Corp's recent slide in stock price has caught the attention of investors and analysts alike, as the company's stock has moved lower for three straight days following the earnings report.

Historical Data: Analyzing the Odds of a Continued Decline

To better understand the implications of this three-day decline for McDonald's Corp's future stock performance, it's essential to examine historical data. When looking at past situations where MCD experienced a similar three-day decline, we find that in 98 of 258 cases, the stock price continued to decline within the following month. This translates to a 38% chance of a continued downward trend.

What This Means for Investors

While a 38% probability of a continued downward trend for McDonald's Corp's stock might seem concerning, it's crucial for investors to remember that this figure is not a guarantee. The historical data serves as a useful reference, but it doesn't provide a definitive prediction for the stock's future performance.

Investors should consider other factors affecting McDonald's Corp's stock price, such as recent earnings reports, industry trends, and overall market performance. Furthermore, it's essential to assess one's risk tolerance and investment strategy when deciding whether to hold, buy, or sell MCD shares.

McDonald's Corp's recent three-day downward trend is considered a bearish sign, leading many investors to keep a close eye on the stock for potential further declines. Historical data suggests that there is a 38% chance of a continued downward trend in the following month. However, investors should be cautious not to rely solely on this probability and should consider a variety of factors when making investment decisions regarding McDonald's Corp's stock.

Related Ticker: MCD

MCD's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCD turned positive on July 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where MCD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 16, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCD as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MCD moved above its 50-day moving average on July 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCD advanced for three days, in of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MCD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MCD entered a downward trend on July 15, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 78%.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (3.968). P/E Ratio (22.175) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.556). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.282) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.396) is also within normal values, averaging (3.209).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MCD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Domino's Pizza (NYSE:DPZ), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Company (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.73K to 188.1B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 188.1B. The lowest valued company is AMHG at 6.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. ODDAF experienced the highest price growth at 42%, while REBN experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 10%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of food restaurant chain

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
110 North Carpenter Street
Phone
+1 630 623-3000
Employees
150000
Web
https://www.investor.mcdonalds.com
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