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published in Blogs
Jan 17, 2019

McKesson Hitting the Upper Rail of a Downward Sloped Channel with Earnings Two Weeks Out

Medical equipment and pharmaceutical supplier McKesson (NYSE: MCK) is set to report earnings on January 31. While investors wait for the earnings results, the stock is facing resistance in the form of the upper rail of a downward sloped trend channel. The channel started back in late April and connects the highs from then, June, October, and November. The lower rail connects the lows from April, July/August, and December.

If the resistance holds and the stock makes another trip down to the lower rail, it would put the stock down below the $100 mark. McKesson hasn’t been under $100 since early 2013, but the trend has been to the downside since the stock hit an all-time high of $236.52 back in May 2015.

The company’s fundamentals are mixed with a decent return on equity, but slow earnings growth, sales growth, and a low profit margin. The company’s ROE is 25.3% and that is the highlight among the fundamental indicators. Earnings have only grown at a rate of 2% per year over the last three years while sales have grown at a rate of 4% during that same timeframe. It isn’t helping earnings that the company sports a profit margin of only 1.7%.

Related Ticker: MCK

Momentum Indicator for MCK turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MCK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 29, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 95 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 95 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCK just turned positive on May 31, 2024. Looking at past instances where MCK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCK advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 237 cases where MCK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MCK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 89%.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (14.370). P/E Ratio (24.254) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.511). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.107) is also within normal values, averaging (4.521). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.241) is also within normal values, averaging (36.746).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MCK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McKesson Corp (NYSE:MCK).

Industry description

Healthcare distribution market can be segmented into pharmaceutical product distribution services, medical device distribution services, and biopharmaceutical product distribution services. In addition to serving as intermediaries, many medical distributors also purchase and take legal ownership of pharmaceuticals and manage inventory and credit risk. According to a Deloitte report, pharmaceutical distributors’ core services of efficient product distribution, inventory management, financial risk management, and information-sharing generate $33 billion-$53 billion in value annually to the U.S. health care ecosystem. Some prominent players in the overall medical distribution industry include McKesson Corporation, AmerisourceBergen Corporation, Cardinal Health, Inc. and Patterson Companies, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Medical Distributors Industry is 9.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 494.39K to 70.55B. MCK holds the highest valuation in this group at 70.55B. The lowest valued company is SNYR at 494.39K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Medical Distributors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. COSM experienced the highest price growth at 16%, while NSVGF experienced the biggest fall at -69%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Medical Distributors Industry was 122%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 118% and the average quarterly volume growth was 58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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MCKDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of pharmaceuticals and provides healthcare software and health information technology services

Industry MedicalDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Medical Distributors
Address
6555 State Highway 161
Phone
+1 972 446-4800
Employees
51000
Web
https://www.mckesson.com
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