Micron (MU, $43.67) climbs on fiscal Q2 beat and chip demand rebound forecast
Micron Technology beat fiscal second quarter earnings expectations, leading to a +6.9% jump in its stock price on Thursday.
The semiconductor company raked in adjusted non-GAAP earnings of $1.71 per share, surpassing analysts’ estimates by 4 cents (based on Refinitiv IBES data). Still, the earnings per share was -40% lower from the year-ago quarter.
Group revenues for the quarter declined -20.55% year-over-year to $5.84 billion, but managed to exceed analysts’ estimate of $5.82 billion.
The company generated $1 billion of free cash flow.
As part of its $10 billion stock buyback program, Micron repurchased 21 million shares of its common stock for $702 million during the quarter.
For the full-fiscal year 2019, Micron predicts that revenue would be in the range of $4.6 billion and $5 billion – which is lower compared to analysts’ expectations of $5.3 billion (according to IBES data from Refinitiv).
The company is planning to trim capital expenditures to $9 billion for the 2019 fiscal year, from its previous expectation of $9 billion-$9.5 billion range. Micron’s latest results and plans have come amidst a global shortage in demand for chips, owing to softening sales of smartphone and patchy frequency of purchases from cloud-computing businesses. Chief Executive Sanjay Mehrotra emphasized that Micron has been able to deliver profits despite the rocky situation facing the semiconductor industry. Also, Micron seems hopeful that demand would begin to pick up by its fourth quarter.
MU in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on January 27, 2025
MU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where MU's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MU advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 226 cases where MU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 27, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MU as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MU turned negative on January 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MU moved below its 50-day moving average on January 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.158) is normal, around the industry mean (11.094). P/E Ratio (25.977) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.662). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.180) is also within normal values, averaging (2.662). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.501) is also within normal values, averaging (48.807).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of advanced semiconductor solutions such as DRAMs, NAND flash memory, CMOS image sensors, other semiconductor components and memory modules
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