Micron (MU, $49.86) disappoints with Q1 revenue and earnings
Micron Technology reported its fiscal first quarter revenue of US$4.09 billion, which is - 47% from the year-ago quarter. Revenue missed analysts' estimates by 1.4%. The semiconductor company mentioned weakening consumer demand and substantial customer inventory adjustments across end markets amid macroeconomic uncertainty as factors behind the disappointing quarterly performance.
Micron incurred a non-GAAP loss of -4 cents per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of -2 cents. In the prior year, it had positive earnings of $2.16 per share.
Micron Technology, Inc. is one of the big three leaders in DRAM technology. The company's Dynamic random access memory revenues came in at $2.83 billion (accounting for 69% of the total revenues), down -49% year over year and -41% sequentially. NAND revenues of $1.10 billion (27% of the total) fell -41% year-over-year and -35% sequentially.
For the second fiscal quarter, Micron is expecting revenues of $3.80 billion (+/-$200 million), vs. Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.77 billion (according to Zacks Equity Research).
It projects adjusted loss per share of 62 cents (+/-10 cents), vs. consensus of 30 cents per share (according to Zacks Equity Research).
Aroon Indicator for MU shows an upward move is likely
MU's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 30, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 227 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 15, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MU as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MU just turned positive on May 15, 2023. Looking at past instances where MU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MU moved above its 50-day moving average on April 26, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MU advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MU moved out of overbought territory on May 30, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MU declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 26, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.660) is normal, around the industry mean (7.030). P/E Ratio (50.761) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.473). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.113) is also within normal values, averaging (2.572). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.427) is also within normal values, averaging (11.588).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of advanced semiconductor solutions such as DRAMs, NAND flash memory, CMOS image sensors, other semiconductor components and memory modules
Industry Semiconductors
MU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MU has been closely correlated with SWKS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MU jumps, then SWKS could also see price increases.
