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Jul 30, 2019
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Micron Technology (MU, $47.64) gets rating boost from Morgan Stanley, on inventory demand

Micron Technology (MU, $47.64) gets rating boost from Morgan Stanley, on inventory demand

Micron Technology shares got a rating upgrade by Morgan Stanley, on hopes for near-term boost from rising DRAM prices.

Morgan Stanley analysts raised their rating on the computer memory/data storage company’s stock to equal weight from underweight.  Joseph Moore indicated in a note that DRAM prices are rising as trade tensions are spurring companies to accumulate inventory, leading him to revise the previous rating on Micron. Spot prices of DRAM have rallied over 20% in the last three weeks, according to Moore.

However, Moore believes that DRAM market would be largely oversupplied in the longer-term. Once global geopolitical risks subside, DRAM and NAND prices will likely start dropping once again, according to Moore. This could push Micron’s cash flow into negative territory and its share price at around book value, as indicated by the analyst.

But Moore also mentioned another, more positive scenario for Micron. If cloud and smartphone inventory builds reaccelerate, Micron could experience tailwinds in 2020 and its stock could touch new highs – according to Moore.

Related Ticker: MU

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MU's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for MU moved out of oversold territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 19 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MU as a result. In 68 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Following a +8.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MU advanced for three days, in 261 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

MU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 61 cases where MU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MU turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

MU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator for MU entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.347) is normal, around the industry mean (6.106). P/E Ratio (18.594) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.186). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.154) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.696) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 202.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 86.8K to 4.88T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.88T. The lowest valued company is STRB at 86.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25%. SIMO experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while INTC experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 179%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 134% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of advanced semiconductor solutions such as DRAMs, NAND flash memory, CMOS image sensors, other semiconductor components and memory modules

Industry Semiconductors

Industry
Semiconductors
Address
8000 S. Federal Way
Phone
+1 208 368-4000
Employees
53000
Web
https://www.micron.com
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