Mohawk (MHK, $135.78) beats Q4 earnings and net sales estimates; but demand challenges remain
Despite a few headwinds, Mohawk Industries, Inc.’s fourth quarter earnings and net sales managed to edge past analysts’ estimates.
For the three months ending December, the flooring manufacturers’ adjusted earnings per share of $2.53 (excluding restructuring, acquisition and other charges) beat Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.49 per share. However, the per-share earnings were -26% lower compared to the year-ago quarter.
Mohawk’s net sales of $2.45 billion was higher than analysts’ expectation by 0.3%. The figure also marked a +3% year-over-year increase.
The company had its share of challenges in the fourth quarter. There was a spike in material costs and a softening of demand for LVT flooring.
For the full year 2018, the company’s adjusted earnings came in at $12.33 per share in 2018, lower than the preceding year’s $13.61 a share. Net sales increased +5% from 2017.
For the first quarter 2019, Mohawk projects earnings-per-share of $2.02-$2.12, excluding one-time charges. The company expects to alter production rates according to reduced demand in several of its markets. But it wants to continue to focus on innovation and improvement in manufacturing processes.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for MHK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
MHK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where MHK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for MHK moved above the 200-day moving average on August 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MHK advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 161 cases where MHK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MHK moved out of overbought territory on August 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MHK turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MHK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MHK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MHK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.080) is normal, around the industry mean (4.480). P/E Ratio (18.042) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.551). MHK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.048). MHK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.752) is also within normal values, averaging (1.585).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MHK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a company, which engages in producing floor covering products for residential and commercial
Industry HomeFurnishings
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