Mondelez (MDLZ, $49.63) and Campbell (CPB, $ $39.41) stuck in deadlock over Arnott’s cookies
Mondelez and Campbell Soup are currently in a deadlock over the sale of the soup company’s Arnott’s cookie brands, one of Mondelez’s international businesses.
Recently, the Oreo's owner had submitted a final bid for Campbell’s international businesses, including Arnott’s. But the bid was modestly below Campbell’s price expectation of $3 billion, resulting in an impasse.
Arnott’s has the interest of some other buyers like KKR, a consortium backed by private equity firm. It is undisclosed what price the private equity firm has offered to buy Arnott, but it is known that they pay less for acquisitions than corporate buyers.
The impasse has put Campbell in an awkward situation, as it may either have to sell Arnott’s below its desired price or abandon the sales process altogether. Last year,Campbell had already put the unit up for sale to help pay down its debt following its $6.2-billion purchase of pretzel and chip company Snyder’s-Lance.
The deadlock also beckons the question of whether the two companies are better off separate than together.
The impasse also poses bigger challenges for the food industry as a number of big brands like Kraft Heinz (KHC), Kellogg (K) and General Mills (GIS) are now focussing on smaller investments on nimbler brands than pay big premiums. Mendelez recently bought premium cookie brand Tate’s Bake Shop for $500 million. Frito-Lay-owner PepsiCo likewise has made small add-ons, recently buying apple chips maker Bare Foods for less than $200 million.
Momentum Indicator for MDLZ turns positive, indicating new upward trend
MDLZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 19, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MDLZ just turned positive on April 19, 2024. Looking at past instances where MDLZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MDLZ moved above its 50-day moving average on April 23, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDLZ advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDLZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MDLZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MDLZ entered a downward trend on April 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.315) is normal, around the industry mean (8.292). P/E Ratio (19.268) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.814). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.392) is also within normal values, averaging (2.471). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.653) is also within normal values, averaging (62.729).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MDLZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of packaged food products
Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy