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Jan 29, 2022
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Mondelez (MDLZ, $66.42) missed Q4 earnings expectations, but beat revenue estimates

Mondelez (MDLZ, $66.42) missed Q4 earnings expectations, but beat revenue estimates

Mondelez posted its fourth quarter earnings that missed analysts' expectations, even as  revenue surpassed forecasts.

The confectionary giant’s earnings came in at $0.71 a share, below the $0.7187 expected by analysts polled by Investing.com. Revenue of $7.66 billion was above  analysts’ expectations of  $7.58 billion.

Adjusted operating income of the North America business for the full year 2021 was $1.59 billion, down -10% from a year ago. Sales were up +1.8%.

Looking ahead,  Mondelez expects 2022 growth rates to be in line with its long-term objectives of 3% organic revenue and high single-digit adjusted earnings per share growth with free cash topping $3 billion. However, the company mentioned that its outlook was issued “in the context of greater-than-usual volatility as a result of COVID-19”.

CFO Luca Zaramella said that inflationary pressures will persist in 2022.

Related Ticker: MDLZ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for MDLZ turns positive, indicating new upward trend

MDLZ saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 100 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 58 of the 100 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 58%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MDLZ just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where MDLZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

MDLZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MDLZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.

Following a +0.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MDLZ advanced for three days, in 168 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 103 of 220 cases where MDLZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 47%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MDLZ moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 55 cases where MDLZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MDLZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

MDLZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MDLZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.163) is normal, around the industry mean (1.490). P/E Ratio (24.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.891) is also within normal values, averaging (1.364). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.163) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.028) is also within normal values, averaging (1.937).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ).

Industry description

A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry is 24.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 89 to 84.26B. MDLZ holds the highest valuation in this group at 84.26B. The lowest valued company is HBIS at 89.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. HSY experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while SOWG experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food: Specialty/Candy Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 33
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of packaged food products

Industry FoodSpecialtyCandy

Industry
Food Major Diversified
Address
905 West Fulton Market
Phone
+1 847 943-4000
Employees
91000
Web
https://www.mondelezinternational.com
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