MPWR +16.47% vs NVDA +26.79%: Swing Trading Strategies in Hi-tech & Volatility Balance, Correlation Analysis
In this article, we'll take a closer look at two titans in the semiconductor industry: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Nvidia Corporation (NVDA). Both companies have experienced impressive growth, but when compared side by side, some interesting contrasts emerge.
MPWR follows a Swing Trader strategy, focusing on the hi-tech and consumer sectors. This diversified approach has seen it attain a commendable yield of 16.47%. Conversely, NVDA adopts a Swing Trader strategy as well, though it leans on a Volatility Balanced Strategy based on technical analysis (TA). This method has yielded an impressive return of 26.79%.
The distinction between the two strategies becomes more apparent upon closer inspection. MPWR's focus on hi-tech and consumer sectors sees it pursue growth through diversified exposure in these markets. NVDA, however, utilizes a volatility-balanced approach, actively responding to market fluctuations with a detailed technical analysis lens. These two contrasting methods highlight the dynamic nature of Swing Trading, showcasing the breadth of tactics traders can employ to meet their investment goals.
It's worth noting that MPWR and NVDA are closely correlated, with a correlation coefficient of 81%. This means the two stocks often move in the same direction, reflecting their shared industry and the similarities in their market responses.
In terms of price growth, MPWR and NVDA have both shown remarkable resilience. Over the past week, MPWR's price grew by 2.25%, while NVDA's rose by 4.71%. Compared to the average weekly growth of 0.41% across all stocks in the semiconductor industry, both companies have significantly outpaced their peers. Moreover, these companies' price growth over this week is consistent with the average monthly (15.59%) and quarterly (16.19%) industry-wide growth.
Looking forward, both MPWR and NVDA are preparing to report their earnings in August 2023. MPWR is set to go first on August 1, 2023, followed by NVDA on August 17, 2023. Given their recent price growth and strong industry performance, these upcoming announcements will be critical in providing further insights into the companies' respective strategies and growth prospects.
Summary: MPWR and NVDA, despite employing different swing trading strategies, have shown compelling growth within the semiconductor industry. Their close correlation and shared market, coupled with their unique trading approaches, offer investors a fascinating comparison and a dynamic glimpse into the semiconductor market's future.
MPWR's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MPWR moved out of oversold territory on March 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 23 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MPWR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 341 cases where MPWR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 24, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPWR as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPWR turned negative on February 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
MPWR moved below its 50-day moving average on February 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MPWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.320) is normal, around the industry mean (10.622). P/E Ratio (16.733) is within average values for comparable stocks, (72.531). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.920) is also within normal values, averaging (2.448). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.550) is also within normal values, averaging (33.403).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a developer of proprietary, advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductors
Industry Semiconductors