MPWR +16.47% vs NVDA +26.79%: Swing Trading Strategies in Hi-tech & Volatility Balance, Correlation Analysis
In this article, we'll take a closer look at two titans in the semiconductor industry: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Nvidia Corporation (NVDA). Both companies have experienced impressive growth, but when compared side by side, some interesting contrasts emerge.
MPWR follows a Swing Trader strategy, focusing on the hi-tech and consumer sectors. This diversified approach has seen it attain a commendable yield of 16.47%. Conversely, NVDA adopts a Swing Trader strategy as well, though it leans on a Volatility Balanced Strategy based on technical analysis (TA). This method has yielded an impressive return of 26.79%.
The distinction between the two strategies becomes more apparent upon closer inspection. MPWR's focus on hi-tech and consumer sectors sees it pursue growth through diversified exposure in these markets. NVDA, however, utilizes a volatility-balanced approach, actively responding to market fluctuations with a detailed technical analysis lens. These two contrasting methods highlight the dynamic nature of Swing Trading, showcasing the breadth of tactics traders can employ to meet their investment goals.
It's worth noting that MPWR and NVDA are closely correlated, with a correlation coefficient of 81%. This means the two stocks often move in the same direction, reflecting their shared industry and the similarities in their market responses.
In terms of price growth, MPWR and NVDA have both shown remarkable resilience. Over the past week, MPWR's price grew by 2.25%, while NVDA's rose by 4.71%. Compared to the average weekly growth of 0.41% across all stocks in the semiconductor industry, both companies have significantly outpaced their peers. Moreover, these companies' price growth over this week is consistent with the average monthly (15.59%) and quarterly (16.19%) industry-wide growth.
Looking forward, both MPWR and NVDA are preparing to report their earnings in August 2023. MPWR is set to go first on August 1, 2023, followed by NVDA on August 17, 2023. Given their recent price growth and strong industry performance, these upcoming announcements will be critical in providing further insights into the companies' respective strategies and growth prospects.
Summary: MPWR and NVDA, despite employing different swing trading strategies, have shown compelling growth within the semiconductor industry. Their close correlation and shared market, coupled with their unique trading approaches, offer investors a fascinating comparison and a dynamic glimpse into the semiconductor market's future.
MPWR's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPWR turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where MPWR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPWR as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for MPWR moved above the 200-day moving average on July 03, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 313 cases where MPWR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MPWR moved out of overbought territory on July 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MPWR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.123) is normal, around the industry mean (9.368). P/E Ratio (20.236) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.626). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.920) is also within normal values, averaging (2.351). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (15.456) is also within normal values, averaging (36.831).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a developer of proprietary, advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductors
Industry Semiconductors
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