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published in Blogs
Jun 04, 2023

MPWR +16.47% vs NVDA +26.79%: Swing Trading Strategies in Hi-tech & Volatility Balance, Correlation Analysis

In this article, we'll take a closer look at two titans in the semiconductor industry: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) and Nvidia Corporation (NVDA). Both companies have experienced impressive growth, but when compared side by side, some interesting contrasts emerge.

MPWR follows a Swing Trader strategy, focusing on the hi-tech and consumer sectors. This diversified approach has seen it attain a commendable yield of 16.47%. Conversely, NVDA adopts a Swing Trader strategy as well, though it leans on a Volatility Balanced Strategy based on technical analysis (TA). This method has yielded an impressive return of 26.79%.

The distinction between the two strategies becomes more apparent upon closer inspection. MPWR's focus on hi-tech and consumer sectors sees it pursue growth through diversified exposure in these markets. NVDA, however, utilizes a volatility-balanced approach, actively responding to market fluctuations with a detailed technical analysis lens. These two contrasting methods highlight the dynamic nature of Swing Trading, showcasing the breadth of tactics traders can employ to meet their investment goals.

It's worth noting that MPWR and NVDA are closely correlated, with a correlation coefficient of 81%. This means the two stocks often move in the same direction, reflecting their shared industry and the similarities in their market responses.

In terms of price growth, MPWR and NVDA have both shown remarkable resilience. Over the past week, MPWR's price grew by 2.25%, while NVDA's rose by 4.71%. Compared to the average weekly growth of 0.41% across all stocks in the semiconductor industry, both companies have significantly outpaced their peers. Moreover, these companies' price growth over this week is consistent with the average monthly (15.59%) and quarterly (16.19%) industry-wide growth.

Looking forward, both MPWR and NVDA are preparing to report their earnings in August 2023. MPWR is set to go first on August 1, 2023, followed by NVDA on August 17, 2023. Given their recent price growth and strong industry performance, these upcoming announcements will be critical in providing further insights into the companies' respective strategies and growth prospects.

Summary: MPWR and NVDA, despite employing different swing trading strategies, have shown compelling growth within the semiconductor industry. Their close correlation and shared market, coupled with their unique trading approaches, offer investors a fascinating comparison and a dynamic glimpse into the semiconductor market's future.

Related Ticker: MPWR

MPWR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 21, 2024

MPWR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where MPWR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where MPWR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPWR advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 322 cases where MPWR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPWR as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPWR turned negative on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MPWR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MPWR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPWR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MPWR's P/B Ratio (20.534) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.487). P/E Ratio (110.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.779). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.109) is also within normal values, averaging (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (23.866) is also within normal values, averaging (43.322).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (null:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (null:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (null:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (null:AMD), Texas Instruments (null:TXN), QUALCOMM (null:QCOM), Applied Materials (null:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (null:LRCX), Micron Technology (null:MU), Analog Devices (null:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 49.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.98T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.98T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. PRKR experienced the highest price growth at 87%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -15%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: 38 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a developer of proprietary, advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
5808 Lake Washington Boulevard NE
Phone
+1 425 296-9956
Employees
3500
Web
https://www.monolithicpower.com
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