Newell (NWL, $21.69) misses net sales expectation
Newell Brands had somewhat of a mixed performance in the fourth quarter 2018.
The consumer goods company’s adjusted earnings of 71 cents a share edged past analysts’ estimate of 67 cents a share. Its net sales of $2.34 billion, however, missed estimate of $2.43 billion (based on Refinitiv data). Net sales were also -6% lower compared to the year-ago quarter. The company apparently faced headwinds from tariffs, inflation and currency exchange rates.
For the full year 2018, Newell incurred a net loss of -$6.9 billion for the year, compared to net income of $2.7 billion in 2017. Its net sales for the year declined by -9.6% to $8.6 billion, from $9.6 billion in 2017.
As for the company’s projections for 2019, it expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $1.50 to $1.65 – compared with FactSet consensus expectation of $1.91. Newell predicts its sales to range between $8.2 billion and $8.4 billion, below analysts’ expectations of $8.79 billion.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for NWL turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NWL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 74 of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 65 cases where NWL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NWL just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where NWL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +4.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NWL advanced for three days, in 211 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
NWL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NWL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NWL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
NWL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for NWL entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.945) is normal, around the industry mean (18.044). P/E Ratio (25.840) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). NWL has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.052) as compared to the industry average of (0.024). P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (1.931).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NWL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NWL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an industrial conglomerate which manufactures and markets consumer and commercial products, including office products, tools, hardware, home and baby products
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare
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