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published in Blogs
Feb 15, 2019
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Newell (NWL, $21.69) misses net sales expectation

Newell (NWL, $21.69) misses net sales expectation

Newell Brands had somewhat of a mixed performance in the fourth quarter 2018.

The consumer goods company’s adjusted earnings of 71 cents a share edged past analysts’ estimate of 67 cents a share. Its net sales of $2.34 billion, however, missed estimate of $2.43 billion (based on Refinitiv data). Net sales were also -6% lower compared to the year-ago quarter. The company apparently faced headwinds from tariffs, inflation and currency exchange rates.

For the full year 2018, Newell incurred a net loss of -$6.9 billion for the year, compared to net income of $2.7 billion in 2017. Its net sales for the year declined by -9.6% to $8.6 billion, from $9.6 billion in 2017. 

As for the company’s projections for 2019, it expects adjusted earnings per share in the range of $1.50 to $1.65 – compared with FactSet consensus expectation of $1.91. Newell predicts its sales to range between $8.2 billion and $8.4 billion, below analysts’ expectations of $8.79 billion.

Related Ticker: NWL

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


NWL's Stochastic Oscillator ascending into overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for NWL moved into overbought territory on November 04, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NWL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

The Aroon Indicator for NWL entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NWL as a result. In 73 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NWL just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where NWL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

NWL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +17.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NWL advanced for three days, in 203 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

NWL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.954) is normal, around the industry mean (21.072). P/E Ratio (-10.358) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.051) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NWL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NWL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 24.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 60.48K to 388.12B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 388.12B. The lowest valued company is EOSS at 60.48K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. HELE experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while YSG experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 155%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 146% and the average quarterly volume growth was 84%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 21 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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General Information

an industrial conglomerate which manufactures and markets consumer and commercial products, including office products, tools, hardware, home and baby products

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Industry
Industrial Conglomerates
Address
6655 Peachtree Dunwoody Road
Phone
+1 770 418-7000
Employees
23700
Web
https://www.newellbrands.com
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