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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 15, 2019

NextEra Energy resumes upward trend after pullback in utilities

The utilities sector got hit with some selling pressure in the first part of November as investors were in risk-on mode and abandoned the safety of the sector. Almost all stocks in the sector fell in the first few weeks of November. One company that dropped was NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE), but in its case, the loss was bigger than some of the other stocks.

From the end of October through November 8, NextEra dropped 6.82% while the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (NYSE:XLU) fell 3.89%. This seems a little odd because NextEra is the number one rated stock in Investor's Business Daily's electric utilities group.

The company has seen its earnings grow by 11% per year over the last three years and they were up 10% last quarter. Sales have increased by 3% per year over the last three years and they jumped 26% in the third quarter. The company boasts a profit margin of 24.1% and a return on equity of 11.8%.

While the earnings growth, sales growth, and management efficiency ratings aren't great compared to other companies in other industries, but within the utilities sector these statistics are really good.

The stats above aren't the only ones that are solid. Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis overview, the Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating is a 1 and that is the best reading a company can get. It indicates low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock well above average.

Another really good rating is the PE Growth Rating. NextEra's rating is 5, pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization.

Turning our attention to the technical picture for NextEra, we see on the daily chart that the stock has been trending higher over the past year with a well-formed trend channel. The recent pullback brought the stock down to and below the lower rail, but the stock has bounced back in the last few days.

The daily overbought/oversold indicators dropped in to oversold territory on the pullback and it was the first time since last December that both indicators had been oversold.

If we step a little further and look at a weekly chart of the stock, we see a stock that has been trending higher for a long time now. The stock was in a trend channel from the end of 2016 through the end of 2018, but the rally took it to a new level in 2019. We see how the trajectory of the rally changed and became much steeper.

Looking at the sentiment toward NextEra, analysts are extremely bullish on the stock with 14 "buy" ratings, one "hold" rating, and one "sell" rating. This puts the buy percentage at 87.5% and that is well above average. The short interest ratio is at 3.5 and that is a little higher than average, but not terribly high.

The fundamentals for NextEra are really good and the technical picture looks really good as well. The extreme bullishness from analysts is a little concerning, but it seems to be warranted in this case.

Related Ticker: NEE

NEE sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

NEE saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 23, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NEE moved out of overbought territory on June 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NEE as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NEE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NEE advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NEE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 337 cases where NEE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NEE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.740) is normal, around the industry mean (1.706). P/E Ratio (17.606) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.333). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.625) is also within normal values, averaging (2.620). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.579) is also within normal values, averaging (3.505).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nextera Energy Inc (NYSE:NEE), Southern Company (The) (NYSE:SO), PG&E Corp (NYSE:PCG), Dominion Energy (NYSE:D), NRG Energy (NYSE:NRG).

Industry description

Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electric Utilities Industry is 18.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 500 to 131.17B. NEE holds the highest valuation in this group at 131.17B. The lowest valued company is SLTZ at 500.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. CEPU experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while ENGIY experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electric Utilities Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -28% and the average quarterly volume growth was -76%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -1 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

an investment holding company with interests in generating and distributing electricity

Industry ElectricUtilities

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electric Utilities
Address
700 Universe Boulevard
Phone
+1 561 694-4000
Employees
16800
Web
https://www.nexteraenergy.com
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