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published in Blogs
Sep 17, 2022

Nobility Homes (NOBH, $24.80) sales climb +18%; but supply chain issues weigh on completion of homes

Nobility Homes, Inc. posted its diluted earnings for its third quarter (ended August 6) of $0.56 per share compared to $0.29 per in the year-ago quarter.

Sales increased +18% from the year-ago period to $13.8 million. Net income after taxes was $1.9 million as compared to $1.0 million for the same period last year.

Nobility's cash and cash equivalents, certificate of deposits and short term investments were $22.9 million as of the third quarter and no outstanding debt. Working capital stood at  $31.2 million.

Terry Trexler, President, stated, 'The demand for affordable manufactured housing in Florida and the U.S. continues to be strong. According to the Florida Manufactured Housing Association, shipments for the industry in Florida for the period from November 2021 through July 2022 were up approximately 22% from the same period last year. Although net sales increased during the three months ended August 6, 2022 as compared to the same period last year, we continued to experience the negative impact of limitations being placed on certain key production materials from suppliers, the delay or lack of key components from vendors as well as back orders, delayed shipments, price increases and labor shortages”. Trexler noted that the supply chain -related challenges in the completion of the homes are expected to continue for the remainder of fiscal year 2022 and potentially beyond until the industry supply chain normalizes.

Trexler said “maintaining our strong financial position is vital for future growth and success”. He added, “Our many years of experience in the Florida market, combined with home buyers' increased need for more affordable housing, should serve the Company well in the coming years”.

Related Ticker: NOBH

NOBH in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on November 14, 2025

NOBH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 38 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NOBH moved out of overbought territory on November 21, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 57 cases where NOBH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 21, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NOBH as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NOBH moved below its 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NOBH just turned positive on November 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where NOBH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for NOBH moved above the 200-day moving average on October 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NOBH advanced for three days, in of 48 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 166 cases where NOBH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.676) is normal, around the industry mean (19.802). P/E Ratio (12.088) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.863). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.940) is also within normal values, averaging (24.824).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NOBH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 42.85B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 42.85B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. MTH experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while UHG experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 132%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 97% and the average quarterly volume growth was 150%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 45
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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General Information

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
3741 South west 7th Street
Phone
+1 352 732-5157
Employees
145
Web
http://www.nobilityhomes.com
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