Nordstrom shares fell on Friday, after the retail company lowered its full-year profit outlook.
Nordstrom is now expecting its earnings for its fiscal 2022 year (ending February) to come in the range of $1.50 to $1.70 per share, well below its prior forecast of $2.13 to $2.43 per share. Holiday sales fell to below prepandemic levels. Sales for the nine weeks ending on December 31 slipped -3.5% from last year, with its discount Nordstrom Rack division undergoing a -7.6% decrease.
The company projects full year sales growth at the lower end of its previous forecast of between 5% and 7%.
"The holiday season was highly promotional, and sales were softer than prepandemic levels. While we continue to see greater resilience in our higher income cohorts, it is clear that consumers are being more selective with their spending given the broader macro environment," mentioned CEO Erik Nordstrom. "Still, our team executed well, and we enter 2023 in a stronger position as we prioritized starting the new fiscal year with clean inventory levels, even if this required more markdowns than planned."
JWN moved above its 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 53 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JWN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JWN as a result. In of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JWN just turned positive on May 10, 2023. Looking at past instances where JWN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JWN advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where JWN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JWN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JWN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for JWN entered a downward trend on May 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.499) is normal, around the industry mean (2.178). P/E Ratio (10.604) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.971). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.414) is also within normal values, averaging (1.020). Dividend Yield (0.047) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.167) is also within normal values, averaging (0.696).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. JWN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JWN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows