Nordstrom (JWN, $34.18) forecasts a weaker-than-expected sales growth guidance for fiscal 2021
Nordstrom issued a weaker-than-expected sales growth guidance for fiscal 2021.
The luxury department store chain projects a revenue growth of +25%, compared to the Refinitiv analyst consensus of +26.6%.
According to Nordstrom’s estimates, digital sales would account for 50% of its revenue. It predicts EBIT will be positive and the leverage ratio will be about 3 times by year-end.
Over the long term, Nordstrom projects revenue growth of low single-digits annually from 2019 levels. It expects operating income to grow faster than revenue, and predicts EBIT margin as a percentage of sales to exceed 6%.
It expects return on invested capital to be in the low teens, annual operating cash flow to exceed $1 billion, annual capex i to be 3% to 4% of sales, and the leverage ratio to return to about 2.5 times or below by the end of 2022.
JWN's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 11, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on JWN as a result. In of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
JWN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for JWN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JWN advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JWN moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JWN turned negative on October 24, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JWN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JWN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for JWN entered a downward trend on October 09, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.896) is normal, around the industry mean (2.393). P/E Ratio (13.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.077). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.313) is also within normal values, averaging (1.753). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.250) is also within normal values, averaging (0.532).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JWN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JWN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a retailer of apparel, shoes, cosmetics and accessories
Industry DepartmentStores