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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 23, 2019

Nordstrom (JWN, $37.95) beats Q3 expectations; raised full-year profit outlook

Nordstrom Inc. posted stronger-than-expected third quarter earnings, and also boosted its full-year profit guidance.

For the three months ending on November 2, earnings came in at 81 cents per share, surpassing the Street consensus expectation of 64 cents per share.

Total revenues of 3.672 billion exceeded analysts' estimates, although falling - 2% from the year-ago quarter.

Co-President Erik Nordstrom emphasized on the Off Price business’ positive sales growth and increased profitability through strong inventory and expense execution as some of the strengths in the quarter.

Digital sales rose +7% from the year-ago quarter; the segment  now accounts for more than a third of the company's total revenues. The growth helped to cushion a -4.1% decline in full price sales.

"We're encouraged by the momentum in our Full Price and Off Price businesses as we execute our holiday strategy to establish Nordstrom as a gifting destination for our customers", Nordstrom added.

For the full fiscal year 2020, the company  raised the lower end of its prior guidance by 5 cents to a range of $3.30 to $3.50 per share. It also increased its EBIT margin forecast by adding 10 basis points. But it re-iterated its forecast of a -2% decline in net sales.

Related Ticker: JWN

Momentum Indicator for JWN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

JWN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 17, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 99 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 99 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JWN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JWN just turned positive on May 10, 2023. Looking at past instances where JWN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JWN moved above its 50-day moving average on June 01, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for JWN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 31, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JWN advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 155 cases where JWN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

JWN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 02, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JWN's P/B Ratio (5.094) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.219). JWN has a moderately high P/E Ratio (158.730) as compared to the industry average of (60.983). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.459) is also within normal values, averaging (2.112). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.186) is also within normal values, averaging (0.689).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JWN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JWN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), Kohl's Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl's Corporation, Macy's Inc., and Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 4.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. JWN experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while SRHGF experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -54%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -47% and the average quarterly volume growth was -41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retailer of apparel, shoes, cosmetics and accessories

Industry DepartmentStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
1617 Sixth Avenue
Phone
+1 206 628-2111
Employees
60000
Web
https://www.Nordstrom.com
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JWN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JWN has been closely correlated with M. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JWN jumps, then M could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To JWN
1D Price
Change %
JWN100%
-0.63%
M - JWN
70%
Closely correlated
-2.72%
KSS - JWN
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.35%
DDS - JWN
55%
Loosely correlated
-2.64%
DDT - JWN
26%
Poorly correlated
+0.43%
CBD - JWN
15%
Poorly correlated
-0.88%
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