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Feb 08, 2019

Norway $1 trillion wealth fund to cut back on real estate

Norway's $1 trillion wealth fund, one of the world's largest, says it will pull back on some of its global real estate investing. The fund says it will focus more on listed real estate companies a way of cutting costs and simplifying its approach after struggling to find properties to buy amid near record prices. It lowered its target for real estate in its portfolio to 3 to 5 percent from 7 percent.

The management should be “cost-effective” and “fairly simple” which means having “an overall property strategy with somewhat greater emphasis on listed holdings,” Egil Matsen, the deputy governor at Norway’s central bank who’s in charge of oversight of the fund. The fund says it will now disband its real estate unit, which has been built up to about 130 employees out of a total 570 at the fund.

Related Ticker: ARI

ARI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024

ARI moved above its 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 40 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where ARI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARI advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ARI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARI as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARI turned negative on April 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for ARI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ARI entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.704) is normal, around the industry mean (1.954). P/E Ratio (37.724) is within average values for comparable stocks, (61.563). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.328) is also within normal values, averaging (6.879). ARI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.128) as compared to the industry average of (0.069). P/S Ratio (5.811) is also within normal values, averaging (7.128).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NYSE:PLD), American Tower Corp (NYSE:AMT), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NYSE:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM), Tanger (NYSE:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NYSE:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 5.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.79B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.79B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. HHDS experienced the highest price growth at 345%, while LDSCY experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 80
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
c/o Apollo Global Management, Inc
Phone
+1 212 515-3200
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https://www.apollocref.com
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