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May 14, 2020
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Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH, $10.46) posts wider-than-expected Q1 loss, but mentions strong future demand

Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH, $10.46) posts wider-than-expected Q1 loss, but mentions strong future demand

Norwegian Cruise Line  reported first quarter loss worse than expected, amid coronavirus crisis. However,  future bookings remain solid.

The cruiseline company’s adjusted loss came in at -99 cents a share, compared to a loss of -28 cents a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet. Earnings were 83 cents a share in the year-ago quarter.  

Revenue of $1.25 billion was lower than the year-ago quarter’s $1.4 billion.

But the company said that there is demand for  cruise vacations, particularly beginning in the fourth quarter 2020 accelerating through 2021, and that the company’s overall booked position and pricing for 2021 within historical ranges.

 

Related Ticker: NCLH

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


NCLH in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for NCLH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NCLH as a result. In 57 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

NCLH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +15.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NCLH advanced for three days, in 220 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 186 of 247 cases where NCLH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NCLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

NCLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NCLH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.202) is normal, around the industry mean (0.364). P/E Ratio (10.743) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.195) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.186) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.699) is also within normal values, averaging (2.686).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NCLH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG), Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL), Carnival Corporation Ltd. (NYSE:CCL), Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE), Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM).

Industry description

Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Consumer Sundries Industry is 25.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.32M to 115.52B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 115.52B. The lowest valued company is SOSAF at 4.32M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Consumer Sundries Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. NCLH experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while NTRP experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Consumer Sundries Industry was 34%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -59%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 25 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TRAVEL INDUSTRY
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NCLH
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General Information

an operator of deep sea and flagged cruise ships in the travel industry

Industry ConsumerSundries

Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
7665 Corporate Center Drive
Phone
+1 305 436-4000
Employees
5300
Web
https://www.nclhltdinvestor.com
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Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH, $10.46) posts wider-than-expected Q1 loss, but mentions strong future demand