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Apr 21, 2021

Norwegian Cruise (NCLH, $29.17) gets rating boost from Goldman Sachs

Shares of Norwegian Cruise Line  got a rating upgrade from Goldman Sachs, on the firm’s outlook of solid post-pandemic rebound in demand.

Goldman Sachs analyst Stephen Grambling raised the rating on the cruise line’s shares to a buy, following neutral for the past three years. Grambling also hiked the price target on the  shares to $37, which implies a 38% upside potential over the most recent closing price.

The analyst cited industry-leading capacity growth, exposure to more “aspirational customers” and “… the longest liquidity runway and lowest leverage on fully recovered EBITDA” as factors behind the rating boost.

Earlier this month, Norwegian said that it plans to resume sailings from U.S. ports starting on July 4. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), on the other hand, has only said that cruises can be restarted in summer but didn’t specify a restart date. 

Related Ticker: NCLH

NCLH in +4.01% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on April 18, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where NCLH advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NCLH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where NCLH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where NCLH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NCLH as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NCLH turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NCLH moved below its 50-day moving average on April 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NCLH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NCLH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NCLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NCLH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (29.674) is normal, around the industry mean (12.408). P/E Ratio (53.692) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.349). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.453) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.315) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.047) is also within normal values, averaging (26.854).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NCLH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings (NASDAQ:BKNG), Royal Caribbean Group (NYSE:RCL), Trip.com Group Limited (NASDAQ:TCOM), Carnival Corp (NYSE:CCL), Expedia Group (NASDAQ:EXPE), WW International (NASDAQ:WW).

Industry description

Other consumer services include companies that provide consumer services, and are not classified elsewhere. Travel fare aggregators, hotel bookings, consumer-to-consumer or business-to-business sales platforms are some examples of services that can be clubbed into this category. Many of such services have expanded online. Booking Holdings Inc, The Priceline Group Inc, and eBay Inc. are some major operators in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Services Industry is 7.94B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 158.6K to 121.92B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 121.92B. The lowest valued company is PRXIQ at 158.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. ONVC experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while PDRO experienced the biggest fall at -40%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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NCLHDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of deep sea and flagged cruise ships in the travel industry

Industry OtherConsumerServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
7665 Corporate Center Drive
Phone
+1 305 436-4000
Employees
5100
Web
https://www.nclhltdinvestor.com
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