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May 09, 2019
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Novartis (NVS) to buy dry-eye drug from Xiidra for $5.3 billion

Novartis (NVS) to buy dry-eye drug from Xiidra for $5.3 billion

Novartis is buying dry-eye drug Xiidra from Takeda Pharmaceutical Co for up to $5.3 billion. The deal calls for $3.4 billion up front and milestone payments up to $1.9 billion, Novartis said. 

The acquisition from Takeda, which is selling off medicine to reduce its debt, adds to several big Novartis transactions over the last year as the Swiss-based company continues to ramp up its portfolio and get rid of non-core assets to focus on prescription drugs. 

 

Related Ticker: NVS

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Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


NVS in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

The 10-day moving average for NVS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVS as a result. In 45 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

NVS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVS advanced for three days, in 188 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 162 of 318 cases where NVS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVS moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for NVS moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

NVS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 55 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.437) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.421). P/E Ratio (24.370) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.700). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.441) is also within normal values, averaging (5.738). NVS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.117) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (4.715) is also within normal values, averaging (4.033).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 215.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.8K to 1.21T. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.21T. The lowest valued company is NEWG at 4.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. MIRA experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while NSRX experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 28% and the average quarterly volume growth was -0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 31
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of health care and nutritional products

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
Lichtstrasse 35
Phone
+41 613241111
Employees
75267
Web
https://www.novartis.com
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