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published in Blogs
Jul 17, 2019

Nu Skin (NUS, $38.60) lowers earnings and sales outlook following China's scrutiny program on health products

Nu Skin Enterprises shares fell as much as -20% on Wednesday, after the company expressed concerns over headwinds from China’s increased scrutiny on health products.

The company, which develops and sells personal care products, revealed that it is adjusting its guidance for the year, mainly due to a dampened revenue outlook in Mainland China following the government’s 100-day campaign to review and scrutinize the health products and direct selling industries.

The increased scrutiny on the direct selling industry has reportedly led to a tightening of regulations on sales meetings - something that could adversely affect customer sentiment, as hinted by NU Skin CEO Ritch Wood. China accounted for 33% of Nu Skin’s revenue in 2018.

The company is scheduled to release its second quarter earnings reports on August 6. But as of now, Nu Skin  is expecting its second-quarter earnings to range between 82 and 84 cents per share – down from its prior forecast of 91 to 98 cents per share. It now expects revenue between $622 million and $623 million, compared to its previous expectation of $660 million to $680 million.

Nu Skin has also lowered its full-year guidance. It now forecasts an earnings per share range of $3.20 to $3.35, compared to prior estimate of $3.80 to $4.05 a share. Its full year revenue expectation now sits between $2.48 billion to $2.52 billion, which is a range lower than its previous prediction of $2.76 billion to $2.81 billion.

 

Related Ticker: NUS

NUS in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on February 15, 2024

NUS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 41 cases where NUS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NUS advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 05, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NUS as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NUS turned negative on February 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

NUS moved below its 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NUS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 07, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NUS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NUS entered a downward trend on February 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.752) is normal, around the industry mean (12.362). P/E Ratio (73.529) is within average values for comparable stocks, (186.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.266). NUS's Dividend Yield (0.098) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (0.317) is also within normal values, averaging (104.190).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NUS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NUS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 22.3B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 81.32K to 373.99B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 373.99B. The lowest valued company is QNTA at 81.32K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. HIMS experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while PGID experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 55% and the average quarterly volume growth was 40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
NUSDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a developer of personal care products and nutritional supplements

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Household Or Personal Care
Address
75 West Center Street
Phone
+1 801 345-1000
Employees
15200
Web
https://www.nuskin.com
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NUS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NUS has been loosely correlated with EPC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 40% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NUS jumps, then EPC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NUS
1D Price
Change %
NUS100%
+0.97%
EPC - NUS
40%
Loosely correlated
+1.19%
UL - NUS
30%
Poorly correlated
-0.20%
IPAR - NUS
29%
Poorly correlated
+1.24%
SPB - NUS
29%
Poorly correlated
-0.31%
HELE - NUS
28%
Poorly correlated
-0.62%
More
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