Nu Skin (NUS, $38.60) lowers earnings and sales outlook following China's scrutiny program on health products
Nu Skin Enterprises shares fell as much as -20% on Wednesday, after the company expressed concerns over headwinds from China’s increased scrutiny on health products.
The company, which develops and sells personal care products, revealed that it is adjusting its guidance for the year, mainly due to a dampened revenue outlook in Mainland China following the government’s 100-day campaign to review and scrutinize the health products and direct selling industries.
The increased scrutiny on the direct selling industry has reportedly led to a tightening of regulations on sales meetings - something that could adversely affect customer sentiment, as hinted by NU Skin CEO Ritch Wood. China accounted for 33% of Nu Skin’s revenue in 2018.
The company is scheduled to release its second quarter earnings reports on August 6. But as of now, Nu Skin is expecting its second-quarter earnings to range between 82 and 84 cents per share – down from its prior forecast of 91 to 98 cents per share. It now expects revenue between $622 million and $623 million, compared to its previous expectation of $660 million to $680 million.
Nu Skin has also lowered its full-year guidance. It now forecasts an earnings per share range of $3.20 to $3.35, compared to prior estimate of $3.80 to $4.05 a share. Its full year revenue expectation now sits between $2.48 billion to $2.52 billion, which is a range lower than its previous prediction of $2.76 billion to $2.81 billion.
NUS in -3.72% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on December 06, 2024
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where NUS declined for three days, in of 301 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NUS moved out of overbought territory on November 19, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
NUS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 04, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NUS as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NUS moved above its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NUS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NUS advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 221 cases where NUS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.811) is normal, around the industry mean (16.934). P/E Ratio (79.294) is within average values for comparable stocks, (201.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.832). Dividend Yield (0.091) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.341) is also within normal values, averaging (113.563).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NUS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NUS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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a developer of personal care products and nutritional supplements
Industry HouseholdPersonalCare