GET DAILY SIGNALSNXP (NXPI, $184.80) misses Q4 earnings expectations
NXP Semiconductors reported fourth-quarter earnings that missed analysts’ expectations, while the chip company projected a year-over-year decline in the current quarter’s revenue.
NXP’s earnings climbed to $2.76 a share (from $2.24 in the year-ago quarter), but was shy of the consensus estimate of $2.77 (based on Capital IQ poll). Revenue rose +9% to $3.31 billion, beating the Street expectations of $3.3 billion.
NXP revenue in the automotive segment climbed +17% to $1.81 billion. Industrial and internet of things revenue fell to $605 million from $661 million in the year-ago quarter. Mobile revenue rose +9% to $408 million, while communications infrastructure revenue grew +8% to $494 million.
For the current quarter, NXP estimates adjusted earnings per share in the range of $2.82 to $3.22, whose mid-point of $3.01 is lower than the consensus for $3.15 (based on Capital IQ poll). The company is expecting revenue to be between $2.9 billion and $3.1 billion, (implying annual decrease of -1% to -8%), while analysts’ have predicted $3.15 billion.
Momentum Indicator for NXPI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
NXPI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 72 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NXPI just turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where NXPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
NXPI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NXPI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +7.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NXPI advanced for three days, in 193 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 135 of 215 cases where NXPI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NXPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
NXPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NXPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.608) is normal, around the industry mean (6.440). P/E Ratio (21.501) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.880). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.219) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of mixed-signal semiconductor solutions
Industry Semiconductors
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