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May 24, 2019

NY Fed sees costs doubling from 2018 to 2019 due to Chinese tariffs

President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China may cost the average American household hundreds of dollars.

New York Fed economists think the annual cost jumped to $831 this year from $419 from the last round of tariffs last year. They added that “higher tariffs are likely to create large economic distortions and reduce U.S. tariff revenues.”

The tariffs on Chinese goods that went into effect on May 10 — from 10% to 25%. The jump added a tax burden - how much additional money purchases of imports are costing as well as a so-called deadweight loss - meaning companies have to rely on less efficient sources for goods.

Related Ticker: CHN

CHN in -3.93% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on March 10, 2025

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CHN declined for three days, in of 300 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CHN moved out of overbought territory on February 24, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 53 cases where CHN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHN turned negative on March 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

CHN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CHN as a result. In of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHN advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 169 cases where CHN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Industry description

CHINA FUND INC is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is a long-term capital appreciation which it seeks to achieve by investing in equity securities with trading in China and outside China. It invests in various industries such as Insurance, Entertainment, Machinery, Electrical Equipment, Beverages, Hotels, Restaurants, and Leisure among others.
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Two Avenue DE LafayettePo Box 5049 (02206-5049)
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