Go to the list of all blogs
Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 15, 2019
Online education company Chegg found support at its 104-week moving average

Online education company Chegg found support at its 104-week moving average

Chegg Inc. (NYSE: CHGG) is an online education company that operates a learning platform designed to help students pass tests, classes, and save money on required materials. Chegg Services offers students required materials such as print textbooks as well as eTextbooks. The company also offers Chegg Study which helps students master difficult concepts, Chegg Writing to help students format and cite sources in written work, and Chegg Tutors which allows students to reach out for human help. The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California and was founded in 2003.

The company has performed very well in the last few years with earnings growing by 122% per year over the last three years and they were up 92% in the second quarter. The company is scheduled to release third quarter earnings on October 29.

Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Overview, Chegg has an SMR rating for of 31. This indicates very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. Chegg has an ROE of 17.2% and a profit margin of 21.9%. Sales have grown by 12% per year over the last three years and they jumped by 26% in the second quarter.

Looking at the weekly chart we see that the stock has fallen over the last three months, but that drop could be creating a buying opportunity. The 104-week moving average (two years of data) appears to have acted as support in the last few weeks and the overbought/oversold indicators dropped in to oversold territory. The indicators have turned higher in the last few weeks and that could be a bullish sign for the stock.

The Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview shows that the stock dropped below the lower Bollinger Band back on October 2. As a result, a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band. In 21 of 28 cases where Chegg's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 75%.

The overview also points out that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where Chegg's MACD histogram became positive, in 36 of 50 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 72%.

Turning our attention to the sentiment indicators for Chegg, there are 13 analysts covering the stock right now with 10 “buy” ratings and three “hold” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 76.9% which is slightly higher than average and suggests slightly more optimism toward the stock.

The short-interest ratio is a whopping 10.8 currently and the number of shares sold short is at 19.89 million shares. The ratio is actually down from 12.2 at the beginning of September.

Chegg has beaten its earnings estimates in each of the last eight quarters. If the company should beat estimates again this time around, the high short interest ratio could add fuel to a rally as short-sellers scramble to cover their positions. This would add buying pressure to the stock.

Related Ticker: CHGG

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


CHGG in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026

CHGG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 41 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHGG as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHGG turned negative on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHGG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CHGG entered a downward trend on July 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHGG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 44 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHGG advanced for three days, in of 238 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.766) is normal, around the industry mean (2.316). P/E Ratio (30.308) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.022). CHGG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.134) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.340) is also within normal values, averaging (27.638).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHGG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHGG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL).

Industry description

‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Specialties Industry is 1.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 90 to 9B. EDU holds the highest valuation in this group at 9B. The lowest valued company is BSEFY at 90.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -11%. XXI experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while COE experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
CHGG
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of learning platform for students

Industry OtherConsumerSpecialties

Profile
Details
Industry
Miscellaneous Commercial Services
Address
3990 Freedom Circle
Phone
+1 408 855-5700
Employees
1979
Web
https://www.chegg.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
ERII shares have remained resilient, trading near $15.47 ahead of Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings scheduled for February 25, 2026. Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $32 million and EPS of $0.07, despite year-over-year declines tied to project timing.
Liberty Broadband Corporation (LBRDA) has experienced pronounced swings in recent weeks, touching multiyear lows before staging a sharp recovery. The stock continues to trade within a wide 52-week range, closely tied to the value of its Charter Communications stake and investor expectations around the proposed merger.
Arm Holdings (ARM) shares have demonstrated resilience in recent sessions, rebounding after an initial earnings-related pullback and stabilizing near technical support levels. While smartphone-related headwinds tied to memory shortages pressured sentiment, momentum in AI-driven data center royalties helped restore confidence.
Shell plc (SHEL) reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.3 billion, below expectations due to weaker oil prices and non-cash tax charges. Full-year adjusted earnings reached $18.5 billion, supported by strong LNG and upstream operations. A 4% dividend increase to $0.372 per share and a new $3.5 billion buyback program reinforce capital return commitments.
Linde (LIN) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.20, topping estimates, with full-year revenue reaching $34 billion. 2026 EPS guidance of $17.40–$17.90 implies 6–9% growth, supported by a record $10 billion project backlog.
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, missing estimates due to weaker oil prices. Full-year adjusted earnings totaled $7.7 billion, with $19.9 billion in operating cash flow. Shares have gained more than 10% in recent weeks, supported by analyst upgrades and sector momentum.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $779 million, up 5.9% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.82, beating expectations. Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $2.62 billion, down 10.2% year over year, but adjusted diluted EPS climbed 14% to $1.77, well above estimates.
(OMC) Omnicom’s fourth-quarter report, released February 18, 2026, marked its first earnings update incorporating results from Interpublic Group (IPG), acquired on November 26, 2025. The combination created the world’s largest marketing services firm by revenue, a significant milestone as the advertising industry consolidates and adapts to digital transformation.
Copart (CPRT) is set to report fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on February 19, 2026, after market close. Consensus calls for EPS of $0.39–$0.40 and revenue of $1.15–$1.18 billion. Global Payments (GPN) posted Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.18, in line with expectations, and adjusted net revenue of $2.32 billion, up 6% in constant currency (excluding dispositions). Thomson Reuters (TRI) delivered Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.07 and revenue of $2.01 billion, up 5% year over year, supported by recurring subscription growth.
Unilever PLC (UL) leads year-to-date performance with a 12.61% gain, ahead of Diageo plc (DEO) at 9.90% and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) at 4.27%. DEO offers the highest dividend yield at 4.35%, compared with KDP (3.16%) and UL (2.97%). All three stocks carry low betas—DEO (0.18), UL (0.24), and KDP (0.35)—highlighting their defensive characteristics.
Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results: Revenue of $333M and adjusted EBITDA of $50M (15% margin), exceeding analyst expectations. FY2026 Guidance Raised: Adjusted EBITDA now projected at $225M, with revenue reaffirmed near $1.5B. EV Backlog Growth: 855 electric buses worth $277M, highlighting robust demand supported by EPA clean bus funding.
IBM fell over 10% today mainly because a new AI tool from Anthropic is seen as a direct threat to IBM’s lucrative COBOL modernization and consulting business, triggering worries that key legacy‑modernization revenue will be automated away.
Today’s drop is mainly about competitive positioning and future growth expectations, not an immediate collapse of current Wegovy/Ozempic sales, but it signals that Novo may not have the strongest next‑wave obesity drug versus Eli Lilly, which is why the stock sold off so sharply.
RNG (RingCentral) dropped over 12% today mainly as a sharp pullback after a very steep recent run‑up driven by upbeat Q4 results, guidance, and capital‑return news, with profit‑taking amplified by valuation concerns and a weak broader tech tap
Fundamentally, the latest public guidance is still for rapid growth and profitability, but today’s drop reflects a reset of sentiment and valuation rather than a brand‑new deterioration in those targets. For investors, the key question is whether the current price appropriately reflects execution risk, competition in diagnostics, and macro volatility after the guidance‑driven rally and subsequent reversal.
TNC (Tennant Company) is down more than 25% today because it reported a very large earnings and revenue miss for Q4 2025, blamed on serious ERP rollout problems and weaker demand, and guided to a slower‑than‑hoped recovery in 2026.
XMTR (Xometry) is down more than 21% today because, despite reporting record growth and an earnings beat, the company announced a CEO transition and investors used the news to take profits after a big prior run‑up, with heavy short interest amplifying the drop.
EDSA (Edesa Biotech) is up more than 21% today largely on speculative trading in a very illiquid penny stock with no clear, company‑specific news catalyst, likely driven by technical factors, retail flows, and short‑term trading rather than fundamentals.
Q4 2025 revenue came in strong at about 214–215 million, up mid‑30s percent year over year and a few percent above estimates, but GAAP EPS was only 0.08 versus expectations around 0.31, a roughly 70–75% miss and down from 0.13 a year earlier.
Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has rebounded with ~12% YTD gains and 50%+ one-year returns, supported by margin improvements and strong skincare/fragrance demand despite broader prestige beauty challenges.