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Oct 15, 2019
Online education company Chegg found support at its 104-week moving average

Online education company Chegg found support at its 104-week moving average

Chegg Inc. (NYSE: CHGG) is an online education company that operates a learning platform designed to help students pass tests, classes, and save money on required materials. Chegg Services offers students required materials such as print textbooks as well as eTextbooks. The company also offers Chegg Study which helps students master difficult concepts, Chegg Writing to help students format and cite sources in written work, and Chegg Tutors which allows students to reach out for human help. The company is headquartered in Santa Clara, California and was founded in 2003.

The company has performed very well in the last few years with earnings growing by 122% per year over the last three years and they were up 92% in the second quarter. The company is scheduled to release third quarter earnings on October 29.

Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Overview, Chegg has an SMR rating for of 31. This indicates very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. Chegg has an ROE of 17.2% and a profit margin of 21.9%. Sales have grown by 12% per year over the last three years and they jumped by 26% in the second quarter.

Looking at the weekly chart we see that the stock has fallen over the last three months, but that drop could be creating a buying opportunity. The 104-week moving average (two years of data) appears to have acted as support in the last few weeks and the overbought/oversold indicators dropped in to oversold territory. The indicators have turned higher in the last few weeks and that could be a bullish sign for the stock.

The Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview shows that the stock dropped below the lower Bollinger Band back on October 2. As a result, a price increase is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band. In 21 of 28 cases where Chegg's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 75%.

The overview also points out that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where Chegg's MACD histogram became positive, in 36 of 50 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 72%.

Turning our attention to the sentiment indicators for Chegg, there are 13 analysts covering the stock right now with 10 “buy” ratings and three “hold” ratings. This puts the buy percentage at 76.9% which is slightly higher than average and suggests slightly more optimism toward the stock.

The short-interest ratio is a whopping 10.8 currently and the number of shares sold short is at 19.89 million shares. The ratio is actually down from 12.2 at the beginning of September.

Chegg has beaten its earnings estimates in each of the last eight quarters. If the company should beat estimates again this time around, the high short interest ratio could add fuel to a rally as short-sellers scramble to cover their positions. This would add buying pressure to the stock.

Related Ticker: CHGG

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


CHGG sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for CHGG moved below the 200-day moving average on September 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHGG as a result. In 78 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHGG turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.

CHGG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHGG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

CHGG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CHGG entered a downward trend on August 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CHGG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 38 of 43 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +23.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHGG advanced for three days, in 168 of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.688) is normal, around the industry mean (2.166). P/E Ratio (30.308) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.372). CHGG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.134) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.008). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.305) is also within normal values, averaging (27.559).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHGG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHGG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL).

Industry description

‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Specialties Industry is 1.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 90 to 8.76B. EDU holds the highest valuation in this group at 8.76B. The lowest valued company is BSEFY at 90.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12%. YQ experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while SKIL experienced the biggest fall at -37%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Specialties Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an operator of learning platform for students

Industry OtherConsumerSpecialties

Profile
Details
Industry
Miscellaneous Commercial Services
Address
2261 Market Street
Phone
+1 408 855-5700
Employees
595
Web
https://www.chegg.com
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