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Dec 07, 2018
Oshkosh’s (OSK) Shares Soared +27.1% in November. Why?

Oshkosh’s (OSK) Shares Soared +27.1% in November. Why?

Shares of the specialty trucks and military vehicles manufacturer, Oshkosh Corporation, rose more than 27% in the month of November according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Meanwhile, the broader market plummeted.

Why the stark performance diversion?

Despite being one of the most underappreciated companies in the industrial sector, Oshkosh started November with an earnings release that widely exceeded analyst expectations.

The company reported 13% sales growth, 67% earnings growth, and reported new full-fiscal-year guidance which even at its low-end was above consensus. Even the company’s non-government units reported some exemplary growth numbers, such as the 103% y-o-y growth in access equipment operating income and 52.6% y-o-y operating income growth in the commercial equipment segment.

However, the icing on the cake came on November 28, when Oshkosh's defense arm announced a $1.7 billion order from the U.S. Army for 6,107 Joint Light Tactical Vehicles (JLTV). JLTV has been an integral part of Oshkosh's push to build its military sales portfolio.

Related Ticker: OSK

OSK's Stochastic Oscillator descending into oversold zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for OSK moved into oversold territory on September 11, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for OSK moved above the 200-day moving average on August 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +2.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OSK advanced for three days, in 216 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

OSK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 244 cases where OSK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OSK as a result. In 55 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OSK turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

OSK moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OSK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.989) is normal, around the industry mean (2.725). P/E Ratio (16.707) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.938). OSK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.298) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.601). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.874) is also within normal values, averaging (1.156).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 26.42B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 376.28B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 376.28B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. BNC experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while HCAI experienced the biggest fall at -47%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -26 (-100 ... +100)
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OSK
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of specialized trucks & vehicle bodies

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
1917 Four Wheel Drive
Phone
+1 920 502-3400
Employees
18400
Web
https://www.oshkoshcorp.com
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