Penn National Gaming’s (PENN, $34.57) shares  rating cut to sell by Deutsche Bank

Casino operator Penn National Gaming’s shares  got downgraded to sell from hold, at Deutsche Bank.

Although Deutsche lifted its price target (citing "the margin profiles of regional gaming operators will be stronger post the pandemic." ) on Penn National to $22 a share from $12,  the new target still represents an almost -40% potential downside from the stock's Friday closing price. 

The investment bank also mentioned that Penn will face a challenge when it comes to improving its margins over its peers , since  "prior margin disciplines and higher-than-peer blended gaming taxes” have compelled Penn, over time, to be “leaner than most", according to the bank.

PENN enters an Uptrend because Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that PENN's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 52 of 72 cases where PENN's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

Current price $34.51 is above $27.29 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 05/05/20 - 06/05/20, the price experienced a +129% Uptrend. During the week of 05/29/20 - 06/05/20, the stock enjoyed a +10% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 25 of 37 similar backtested cases where PENN's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on May 06, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 9 of 16 similar cases where PENN's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 214 of 298 similar cases where PENN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 44 cases where PENN's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 31%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.19 to 1.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PENN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.35) is normal, around the industry mean (5.65). P/E Ratio (43.74) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.89). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.17) is also within normal values, averaging (1.44). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.17) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.29) is also within normal values, averaging (0.91).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.