Go to the list of all blogs
Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 05, 2019

Penn National Gaming trending lower and a bearish signal was just generated

Most gaming stocks have been underperforming the overall market for the last six months. Ongoing concerns about the trade war and the unrest in Hong Kong have taken their toll on casino operators around the world. Even with the group as a whole underperforming, Penn National Gaming (Nasdaq: PENN) has performed worse than its peers. The stock is down over 20% in the past six months while the S&P is up just over 5% during the same time period.

Looking at the daily chart we see that there is a trend channel that has formed over the last six months and it defines the cyclical moves within the overall downward trend. The upper rail connects the highs from March, April, and May. The stock did move above the upper rail in August, but it wasn’t able to close above the trend line. The parallel lower rail connects a number of lows over the last six months. The stock is hovering just below the upper rail at this time.

We also see on the chart that the daily stochastic readings are in overbought territory and just made a bearish crossover on September 4. Over the last few months when the indicators have made bearish crossovers, it has been a sign of moves to the downside—especially when the indicators were in overbought territory at the time of the crossover.

In addition to the bearish crossover from the stochastic readings, the Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal on Penn National Gaming on September 3. The signal showed a confidence level of 86% and past predictions on the stock have been successful 69% of the time. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% within the next month.

The fundamentals for Penn National are mixed. Earnings have declined on a year over year basis in each of the last two quarters. In the most recent quarterly report the earnings declined by 23% compared to the previous year. Analysts expect earnings for 2019 as a whole to decline slightly.

Another concern regarding Penn National’s fundamentals is the profit margin. The margin is currently at 2.5% which is well below the profit margin for most companies and lower than the industry average.

On the positive side, sales have been growing by 11% per year over the last three years and they were up by 60% in the most recent quarter. The return on equity is also above average at 28.4%.

Looking at the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Overview we see that the Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Penn National Gaming is 73, indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PENN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility.

Like the fundamentals, the sentiment toward Penn National Gaming is mixed. Analysts are overly bullish on the stock with 12 of 13 analysts rating the stock as a “buy”. The other analyst has the stock rated as a “hold”. This puts the buy percentage at 92.3% and that is much higher than the buy percentage for an average stock. It is particularly concerning to see such optimism for a stock that has been trending lower and a company that hasn’t been performing all that well.

The short interest ratio is well above average at 4.9 and that is indicative of extreme pessimism. While the ratio is high currently, the ratio has declined in recent months. The current reading is from the mid-August report and it is down from the mid-July reading of 9.8.

Related Ticker: PENN

Momentum Indicator for PENN turns negative, indicating new downward trend

PENN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 10, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 83 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PENN turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PENN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PENN entered a downward trend on April 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PENN advanced for three days, in of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PENN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.870) is normal, around the industry mean (11.865). P/E Ratio (4.474) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.563). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.008) is also within normal values, averaging (1.549). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.437) is also within normal values, averaging (5.559).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PENN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PENN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

Casinos/Gaming includes companies that operate casinos, gaming services, horse racing and harness racing facilities. Think Las Vegas Sands Corp., MGM Resorts International and Wynn Resorts, Ltd. In periods of strong economic growth, consumers tend to spend on discretionary/leisure activities like gambling or games; but consumption is likely to slow down when there’s economic sluggishness.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Casinos/Gaming Industry is 5.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 152.98K to 38.96B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 38.96B. The lowest valued company is ROBK at 152.98K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. RVLCF experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while SCHYF experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -3 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
PENNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of gaming and pari-mutuel properties

Industry CasinosGaming

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Casinos Or Gaming
Address
825 Berkshire Boulevard
Phone
+1 610 373-2400
Employees
23333
Web
https://www.pennentertainment.com
Ad is loading...
Discover the dynamic world of cryptocurrency trading with Tickeron's AI analysis. Capitalize on bullish and bearish patterns in Origin Protocol (OGN.X), with gains up to 27.80%. Stay ahead with Tickeron's real-time insights and make informed trading decisions. #CryptoTrading #AIAnalysis #OriginProtocol #InvestSmart
#latest#popular#patterns#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
Dive into the world of trading excellence with our Best AI Robot of the week! In a market characterized by growth, the key to maximizing profits lies not only in mainstream large-cap stocks but also in exploring opportunities across different market segments.
This article delves into the performance of AI trading robots, specifically those utilizing the "Swing trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)." These bots showcased their prowess by delivering a notable +4.98% gain while engaging in MRNA trades over the previous week. Beyond mere statistics, we explore the technical indicators and recent earnings report of MRNA to shed light on the underlying dynamics influencing the stock.
Artificial intelligence (AI) trading bots have become powerful tools for investors seeking active trading opportunities. In a recent analysis conducted on the "Day Trader: High Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA)" platform, AI trading bots exhibited impressive performance, generating a noteworthy +4.81% gain while actively trading Shopify (SHOP) over the course of the previous week.
In the dynamic world of finance, strategic asset acquisition is a game-changer. Recently, a group of stocks within this domain has been in the spotlight, showcasing notable performances and intriguing patterns. This article delves into the recent movements of these stocks, focusing on key indicators, market capitalization, notable price events, and volume dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our best robot of the week tailored for Trend Traders. Our sophisticated AI Robot, has been designed for manual trading enthusiasts who value independent signal selection.
Tickeron's Quant team is delighted to introduce our latest AI-powered robot designed for trading small-cap stocks, employing a distinctive fundamental stock analysis algorithm. This algorithm, renowned for its blend of in-depth analysis and intuitive signal-following capabilities, is well-suited for both novice and seasoned traders.
The Tickeron quant team proudly presents our top-performing AI robot for swing traders. This robot stands out with its remarkable accuracy, empowering traders to capitalize on diverse market conditions and transaction types. Demonstrating its proficiency, it achieved profitability in short trades during last week's strong uptrend in the US stock markets.
One such example is the "Trend Trader: Popular Stocks (TA&FA)" platform, where AI trading robots demonstrated their prowess by generating a notable gain while actively trading Adobe Inc. (ADBE) over the previous week. In this article, we delve into a technical analysis of ADBE's recent performance, shedding light on key indicators and recent earnings results.
​​​​​​​The railroads sector, encompassing prominent players such as Canadian Pacific Railway (CP), CSX Corporation (CSX), Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC), Canadian National Railway Company (CNI), and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), has undergone a noteworthy surge in performance over the past week. However, a closer examination reveals a complex landscape marked by negative outlook signals and fluctuating market dynamics.
The Tickeron quant team is excited to introduce our premier AI robot, specifically optimized for Swing Traders. This tool represents the pinnacle of our technological advancements in trading algorithms. Excelling in the market, it has achieved an impressive feat, earning twice as much as the S&P 500 in just the past week.
In the whirlwind of the current mergers and acquisitions frenzy, investors are reaping substantial rewards as stocks within the merger industry theme surged by an impressive 20.9% on average over the past month.
The Tickeron quant team is delighted to introduce our top-performing AI robot tailored for beginners. Our AI Robot specializes in navigating the high-tech stocks within the NASDAQ 100 index, renowned for their liquidity and moderate volatility—making them an ideal choice for novice traders.
In the dynamic landscape of the US stock markets, where unpredictability has become the norm, finding a trading strategy that not only thrives in periods of growth but also shields against sharp corrections is paramount.
The Tickeron quant team proudly introduces our premier AI Robot, tailor-made for trend traders who prefer manual trading and selecting their own signals. This AI Robot stands out with its impressive track record of consistent trading predictions, empowering traders to align their decisions with personal preferences.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week, given the recent downturn in major US stock indices. While the SP500, NASDAQ 100, and Dow Jones Industrial all experienced declines, our AI robot, thanks to its well-calibrated diversification across various industries, demonstrated remarkable resilience.
As the trading week came to a close on Friday, there were notable movements across various asset classes:
Tickeron's quant team diligently monitors developed trading algorithms daily to determine the most effective ones. Today, we are delighted to present three of the best robots tailored for swing traders, showcasing consistently positive results over several months, irrespective of market conditions. This week, they underscored their efficacy by yielding impressive gains across various stocks, even as major US stock indexes dipped.
Tickeron is excited to highlight the exceptional performance of our top AI robot this week. The US stock market has experienced a consistent upward trend for the past five months, heightening the anticipation of a forthcoming correction with each passing day.
Introducing our top-performing best AI Robot of the week, designed by Tickeron's expert quant team for trading small-cap stocks. This algorithm blends classical and proprietary technical indicators, honed through advanced machine learning, to empower users with effective portfolio diversification and maximum profitability in the dynamic market.