Sarah Patel's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 06, 2021

Penn National (PENN, $61.76) misses Q3 expectations

Penn National Gaming  reported third-quarter earnings that fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The operator of casinos and racetracks  posted third-quarter earnings of 52 cents a share, compared 93 cents a share a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected 85 cents.

Revenue rose +33.8% from the year-ago quarter to $1.51 billion, in line with the FactSet consensus.

Allegations surfaced against Dave Portnoy, founder of the Barstool Sports sports-media company, that he was aggressive with women. Portnoy responded to the article on Twitter where he denied many of the allegations, calling them “jarring.” Penn National owns a significant equity stake in Barstool.

Related Ticker: PENN

PENN's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PENN turned positive on May 24, 2023. Looking at past instances where PENN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PENN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 42 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 26, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PENN as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PENN advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PENN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 252 cases where PENN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

PENN moved below its 50-day moving average on May 04, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PENN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 05, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PENN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.949) is normal, around the industry mean (10.763). P/E Ratio (6.329) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.121). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.369) is also within normal values, averaging (0.209). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.680) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PENN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PENN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE:LVS), MGM Resorts International (NYSE:MGM), Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ:WYNN), Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (NASDAQ:MLCO).

Industry description

Casinos/Gaming includes companies that operate casinos, gaming services, horse racing and harness racing facilities. Think Las Vegas Sands Corp., MGM Resorts International and Wynn Resorts, Ltd. In periods of strong economic growth, consumers tend to spend on discretionary/leisure activities like gambling or games; but consumption is likely to slow down when there’s economic sluggishness.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Casinos/Gaming Industry is 4.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 152.98K to 43.07B. LVS holds the highest valuation in this group at 43.07B. The lowest valued company is ROBK at 152.98K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 24%. CDRO experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while LTRY experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Casinos/Gaming Industry was -9%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was 67%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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