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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 01, 2019

Performance Food (PFGC, $40.08) to buy Reinhart Foodservice for $2 billion

Food distribution company Performance Food Group has agreed to acquire privately held Reinhart Foodservice for $2 billion.

Reinhart’s revenue last year came in at more than $6 billion.

The deal could potentially catapult Performance Food’s position as one of the largest food distributors in the U.S. with approximately $30 billion in net sales. The merger is expected to generate around $50 million of annual run-rate cost synergies in three years.

The transaction has been approved by the board of directors of Performance Food Group and the governing body of Reinhart. It is subject to U.S. federal antitrust approval.

Related Ticker: PFGC

PFGC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023

PFGC moved below its 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 42 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where PFGC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for PFGC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 22, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PFGC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PFGC entered a downward trend on June 07, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PFGC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 07, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PFGC as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PFGC just turned positive on June 06, 2023. Looking at past instances where PFGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PFGC advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PFGC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PFGC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.444) is normal, around the industry mean (122.811). P/E Ratio (26.954) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.564). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.467). PFGC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (0.153) is also within normal values, averaging (4.240).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Industry description

Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Distributors Industry is 4.76B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 21.55K to 36.83B. SYY holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.83B. The lowest valued company is LFER at 21.55K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. HFFG experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while DIT experienced the biggest fall at -13%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Distributors Industry was 45%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 154% and the average quarterly volume growth was 44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributor of food products

Industry FoodDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Distributors
Address
12500 West Creek Parkway
Phone
+1 804 484-7700
Employees
35000
Web
https://www.pfgc.com
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PFGC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PFGC has been closely correlated with USFD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PFGC jumps, then USFD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PFGC
1D Price
Change %
PFGC100%
-1.22%
USFD - PFGC
74%
Closely correlated
-0.79%
SYY - PFGC
73%
Closely correlated
-0.25%
CHEF - PFGC
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.01%
UNFI - PFGC
40%
Loosely correlated
-14.91%
HFFG - PFGC
34%
Loosely correlated
+4.55%
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