Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 19, 2023

Philip Morris International (PM, $101.33) earnings forecast on April 20

Philip Morris International (PM) is set to release its earnings forecast on Thursday, and traders are closely watching to see if the company will continue its upward trend. The RSI Indicator for PM moved out of oversold territory on March 27, 2023, which could be a positive sign for investors. This shift may indicate that the stock is moving from a downward trend to an upward trend, making it an attractive buy for traders looking to invest.

According to A.I.dvisor, which analyzed 22 similar instances when the RSI Indicator moved out of oversold territory, in 19 of those cases, the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%, which is a positive sign for traders looking to invest in PM.

This upward trend could be driven by several factors, including the company's recent success in expanding its product offerings and increasing its market share. Additionally, Philip Morris International has been focused on growing its presence in emerging markets, where demand for tobacco products is on the rise.

Furthermore, PM has been making significant investments in research and development to create new and innovative products, such as its IQOS device, which heats tobacco instead of burning it. This product has been well-received in markets where it has been introduced, and could be a key driver of future growth for the company.

Traders are optimistic about PM's earnings forecast and the potential for the stock to continue its upward trend. The RSI Indicator moving out of oversold territory, combined with the positive track record of similar instances, suggests that there is a high likelihood of the stock moving higher. Investors may want to consider buying the stock or call options ahead of the earnings forecast release on Thursday.

Related Ticker: PM

PM's RSI Indicator is sitting in oversold zone for 2 days

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 17 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 01, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PM as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PM turned negative on April 24, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

PM moved below its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 10, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for PM entered a downward trend on May 26, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PM's P/B Ratio (1318.699) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (57.718). P/E Ratio (16.260) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.843). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.269) is also within normal values, averaging (5.287). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.401) is also within normal values, averaging (40.853).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 17.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 160.39K to 141B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 141B. The lowest valued company is VHUB at 160.39K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. TOBAF experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while ASHI experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -24%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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