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Sep 11, 2019

Philip Morris (PM, $75.28) increases quarterly dividend by +2.6%

Philip Morris International announced a dividend hike to an annualized $4.68 a share.

The tobacco company’s new quarterly dividend of $1.17 per share, up +2.6% from $1.14, would be payable payable Oct. 11 to holders of record Sept. 25.

Based on Tuesday's Philip Morris stock closing price of $74.50, the new annual dividend rate of $4.68 a share indicates a dividend yield of 6.28%, which is significantly higher than the yield for the SPDR Consumer Discretionary Select Sector ETF  of 1.23% and also greater than the implied yield for the S&P 500  of 1.97% (according to FactSet).

In August, Philip Morris confirmed that it was in talks with Altria regarding a potential merger. Interestingly, Philip Morris was once an operating firm of Altria. In 2008, Altria spun off Philip Morris and focused on the domestic cigarette market, while  Philip Morris went on to have a larger overseas presence.

Philip Morris, along with several of its peers, has ventured into the e-cigarette market, amidst declining global sales of tobacco products.

 

Related Ticker: PM

PM in +3.52% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on April 19, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PM as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PM just turned positive on April 19, 2024. Looking at past instances where PM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PM moved above its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PM moved out of overbought territory on March 19, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for PM moved below the 200-day moving average on March 14, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PM entered a downward trend on April 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (3.385). P/E Ratio (18.737) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.253). PM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.136) is slightly lower than the industry average of (15.688). Dividend Yield (0.055) settles around the average of (0.065) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.153) is also within normal values, averaging (34.401).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 16.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9 to 146.22B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 146.22B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 9.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. KAVL experienced the highest price growth at 40%, while PYYX experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 47%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was 72%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -14 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of cigarettes and other tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Tobacco
Address
677 Washington Boulevard
Phone
+1 203 905-2410
Employees
87200
Web
https://www.pmi.com
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