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Philip Morris (PM, $75.51) beats Q4 earnings estimate, shares climb +1.9%

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk|Expert

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.

PM in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026

PM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 23 of 30 cases where PM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 30 of 55 cases where PM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PM as a result. In 39 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

PM moved above its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PM advanced for three days, in 226 of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PM turned negative on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

The 10-day moving average for PM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (19.382). P/E Ratio (26.232) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.474). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.295) is also within normal values, averaging (3.758). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. PM's P/S Ratio (7.003) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.805).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.